Bet with MINO CASINO →Aarhus v AC Horsens is on 8 November 2026 · 13:00 at New Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus). We think Aarhus (59%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Aarhus are 8th with 12 points after 13 matches (2W 6D 5L), whereas AC Horsens are 7th with 16 points (4W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Aarhus have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.6 goals per game on average in this competition; AC Horsens average 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aarhus: 2W 6D 5L, goals 17–21; AC Horsens: 4W 4D 5L, goals 23–21.
- Head to head. In their 31 meetings so far, Aarhus have 17 wins, AC Horsens have 9 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 57–34.
What to expect
Aarhus should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the AC Horsens are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 31; Aarhus 17 wins, 5 draws, AC Horsens 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Aarhus 17–21, AC Horsens 23–21.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Aarhus 0, AC Horsens 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Aarhus are missing: no absences. AC Horsens are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.62 | 4.39 | 5.15 |
| Market average | 1.57 | 4.16 | 4.96 |
| Lowest odds | 1.52 | 3.78 | 4.47 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.57 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.38 | 39.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.62 | 57.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.22 | 2.18 | 42.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Aarhus 2–1 AC Horsens, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aarhus 8th (12 points), AC Horsens 7th (16 points).
- Form in the competition: Aarhus 2W 6D 5L (17:21), AC Horsens 4W 4D 5L (23:21).
- H2H: 31 matches: Aarhus 17W 5D 9L, goals 57–34.
- Absences: Aarhus 0, AC Horsens 0.
Who will win Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: who is missing
Aarhus
- No reported absences
AC Horsens
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 | AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 | Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
Aarhus
Home and away
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AarhusLWDWDAC HorsensLWDDDAarhus vs AC Horsens: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Aarhus vs AC Horsens: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
Aarhus -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Aarhus vs AC Horsens?
Our probabilities: Aarhus to win 59%, a draw 22%, AC Horsens to win 19%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 13:00, at New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus.
Who will be missing?
Aarhus: no absences. AC Horsens: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.9%); after that come 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.