FC Midtjylland meet Sønderjyske on 8 November 2026 · 17:00 at MCH Arena (Herning). FC Midtjylland (70%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, FC Midtjylland are 1st with 31 points after 13 matches (9W 4D 0L), whereas Sønderjyske are 12th with 8 points (2W 2D 9L).
- Attack and defence. FC Midtjylland have scored 2.1 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Sønderjyske average 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Midtjylland: 9W 4D 0L, goals 27–15; Sønderjyske: 2W 2D 8L, goals 17–29.
- Head to head. In their 40 meetings so far, FC Midtjylland have 23 wins, Sønderjyske have 10 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 78–57.
What to expect
FC Midtjylland should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.60), and our probability for it is 59%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 40; FC Midtjylland 23 wins, 7 draws, Sønderjyske 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: FC Midtjylland 27–15, Sønderjyske 17–29.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 69%.
- Absent: FC Midtjylland 0, Sønderjyske 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
FC Midtjylland are missing: no absences. Sønderjyske are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.37 | 5.77 | 7.50 |
| Market average | 1.34 | 5.33 | 7.25 |
| Lowest odds | 1.30 | 5.00 | 6.79 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.35 | 68.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 2.99 | 31.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.95 | 48.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.57 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.26 | 2.25 | 41.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Midtjylland 2–1 Sønderjyske, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Midtjylland 1st (31 points), Sønderjyske 12th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Midtjylland 9W 4D 0L (27:15), Sønderjyske 2W 2D 8L (17:29).
- H2H: 40 matches: FC Midtjylland 23W 7D 10L, goals 78–57.
- Absences: FC Midtjylland 0, Sønderjyske 0.
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske: who is missing
FC Midtjylland
- No reported absences
Sønderjyske
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 | |
| 5 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 | |
| 6 | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 | |
| 7 | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 | |
| 8 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 | |
| 9 | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 | |
| 10 | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 | |
| 11 | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 | |
| 12 | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
FC Midtjylland
Home and away
FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske: questions and answers
What is the best tip for FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske?
Sønderjyske +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Both teams to score (1.60).
Who will win FC Midtjylland vs Sønderjyske?
Our probabilities: FC Midtjylland to win 70%, a draw 17%, Sønderjyske to win 13%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at MCH Arena, Herning.
Who will be missing?
FC Midtjylland: no absences. Sønderjyske: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 69% (odds 1.40); under 2.5 goals is at 31% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.60).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.4%); after that come 2–0 (9.4%) and 3–1 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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