Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AC Horsens v Sønderjyske is on 25 October 2026 · 15:00 at CASA Arena (Horsens); Jacob A Sundberg takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.86 |
| Market average | 2.39 | 3.45 | 2.76 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.72 | 54.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.08 | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.75 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:53. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AC Horsens 1–1 Sønderjyske, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: AC Horsens 7th (16 points), Sønderjyske 12th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: AC Horsens 3W 4D 4L (18:19), Sønderjyske 2W 2D 7L (16:24).
- H2H: 26 matches: AC Horsens 9W 5D 12L, goals 42–45.
- Absences: AC Horsens 2, Sønderjyske 2.
Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: who is missing
AC Horsens
- C. Vestergaardknee injury · will miss the match
- O. Kolskogennot in the squad · doubtful
Sønderjyske
- M. Bundgaardnot in the squad · will miss the match
- E. Durunot in the squad · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 | AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 |  Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 12 | Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
AC Horsens
Home and away
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, AC Horsens are 7th with 16 points after 13 matches (4W 4D 5L), whereas Sønderjyske are 12th with 8 points (2W 2D 9L).
- Attack and defence. AC Horsens have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Sønderjyske average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. AC Horsens: 3W 4D 4L, goals 18–19; Sønderjyske: 2W 2D 7L, goals 16–24.
- Head to head. In their 26 meetings so far, AC Horsens have 9 wins, Sønderjyske have 12 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 42–45.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 26; AC Horsens 9 wins, 5 draws, Sønderjyske 12 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: AC Horsens 18–19, Sønderjyske 16–24.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: AC Horsens 2, Sønderjyske 2.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
AC Horsens are missing: C. Vestergaard, O. Kolskogen. Sønderjyske are without: M. Bundgaard, E. Duru. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AC HorsensLWDDDSønderjyskeLLWLWAC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske: questions and answers
What is the best tip for AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
Our result tip is AC Horsens or draw (1X) (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is AC Horsens or draw (1X).
Who will win AC Horsens vs Sønderjyske?
Our probabilities: AC Horsens to win 39%, a draw 27%, Sønderjyske to win 34%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at CASA Arena, Horsens. Referee: Jacob A Sundberg.
Who will be missing?
AC Horsens: C. Vestergaard, O. Kolskogen. Sønderjyske: M. Bundgaard, E. Duru. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.78); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.15).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 1–0 (8.8%) and 2–1 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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