Bet with MINO CASINO →Hertha BSC are at home to VfL Wolfsburg on 7 November 2026 · 19:30 at Olympiastadion (Berlin). Our favourites are Hertha BSC (45%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Hertha BSC are 1st with 28 points after 10 matches (9W 1D 0L), whereas VfL Wolfsburg are 3rd with 19 points (5W 4D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Hertha BSC have scored 2.3 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; VfL Wolfsburg average 2.5 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Hertha BSC: 9W 1D 0L, goals 23–8; VfL Wolfsburg: 5W 4D 1L, goals 25–14.
- Head to head. In their 23 meetings so far, Hertha BSC have 7 wins, VfL Wolfsburg have 10 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 25–38.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 2–1 (8.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.90), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 23; Hertha BSC 7 wins, 6 draws, VfL Wolfsburg 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Hertha BSC 23–8, VfL Wolfsburg 25–14.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 71%.
- Absent: Hertha BSC 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 49%, best available odds 1.96). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Hertha BSC are missing: no absences. VfL Wolfsburg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.10 | 4.02 | 3.16 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.86 | 3.02 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.38 | 2.68 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.32 | 70.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.18 | 29.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.85 | 50.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.34 | 1.32 | 70.6% |
| BTTS – no | 3.25 | 3.16 | 29.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hertha BSC 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Hertha BSC 1st (28 points), VfL Wolfsburg 3rd (19 points).
- Form in the competition: Hertha BSC 9W 1D 0L (23:8), VfL Wolfsburg 5W 4D 1L (25:14).
- H2H: 23 matches: Hertha BSC 7W 6D 10L, goals 25–38.
- Absences: Hertha BSC 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: who is missing
Hertha BSC
- No reported absences
VfL Wolfsburg
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Hertha BSC
Home and away
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Hertha BSCWWDWWVfL WolfsburgWDWDWHertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg (X2) (1.78); Over 3.5 goals (1.90).
Who will win Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our probabilities: Hertha BSC to win 45%, a draw 24%, VfL Wolfsburg to win 31%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Olympiastadion, Berlin.
Who will be missing?
Hertha BSC: no absences. VfL Wolfsburg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 71% (odds 1.37); under 2.5 goals is at 29% (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 71% probability (odds 1.34).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (8.6%); after that come 1–1 (8.6%) and 2–2 (7.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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