Bet with MINO CASINO →Aubagne meet Amiens on 7 November 2026 · 13:45 at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny (Aubagne). Amiens (51%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Aubagne vs Amiens: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Aubagne are 17th with 7 points after 11 matches (2W 1D 8L), whereas Amiens are 8th with 17 points (4W 5D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Aubagne have scored 0.5 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Amiens average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aubagne: 2W 1D 8L, goals 6–17; Amiens: 4W 5D 2L, goals 14–5.
What to expect
Amiens should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.83), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Aubagne 6–17, Amiens 14–5.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Absent: Aubagne 0, Amiens 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Aubagne are missing: no absences. Amiens are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Aubagne vs Amiens: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.24 | 3.57 | 1.83 |
| Market average | 3.99 | 3.41 | 1.79 |
| Lowest odds | 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.31 | 70.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 1.99 | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.75 | 53.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.40 | 27.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.10 | 1.87 | 49.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.82 | 50.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Aubagne 0–1 Amiens, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aubagne 17th (7 points), Amiens 8th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Aubagne 2W 1D 8L (6:17), Amiens 4W 5D 2L (14:5).
- Absences: Aubagne 0, Amiens 0.
Who will win Aubagne vs Amiens?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Aubagne vs Amiens: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Aubagne vs Amiens: who is missing
Aubagne
- No reported absences
Amiens
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Aubagne vs Amiens: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 | Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 | Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Aubagne
Home and away
Aubagne vs Amiens: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AubagneLLLWLAmiensDDWDWReturns calculator
Aubagne vs Amiens: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Aubagne vs Amiens?
Under 2.5 goals (1.83); Amiens to win (1.83).
Who will win Aubagne vs Amiens?
Our probabilities: Aubagne to win 23%, a draw 27%, Amiens to win 51%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny, Aubagne.
Who will be missing?
Aubagne: no absences. Amiens: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 47% (odds 2.15); under 2.5 goals is at 53% (odds 1.83).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 2.10).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (12.7%); after that come 1–1 (12.1%) and 0–2 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.