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Superliga · Matchweek 11 · 16 October 2026 · 18:00

AC Horsens vs Randers FC: tip, odds and prediction – 16 October 2026, Superliga

0–0
1AC Horsens2.81
XDraw3.70
2Randers FC2.46

Best available odds · Updated 16/10/26, 13:05

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

AC Horsens v Randers FC is on 16 October 2026 · 18:00 at CASA Arena (Horsens); Morten Krogh takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

AC Horsens vs Randers FC: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Randers FC (X2)
1.41
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
66%chance of the result
65%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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AC Horsens vs Randers FC: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, AC Horsens are 7th with 16 points after 13 matches (4W 4D 5L), whereas Randers FC are 10th with 11 points (3W 2D 8L).

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Here is a twist: the table suggests the AC Horsens are stronger, but the betting market gives the away side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
  2. Absent: AC Horsens 0, Randers FC 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

AC Horsens are missing: no absences. Randers FC are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

AC Horsens vs Randers FC: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.813.702.46
Market average2.743.532.36
Lowest odds2.703.402.30
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.1977.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.711.6955.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.232.1144.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.772.6734.7%
BTTS – yes1.571.5659.3%
BTTS – no2.302.2740.7%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 16/10/26, 13:05. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: AC Horsens 1–1 Randers FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: AC Horsens 7th (16 points), Randers FC 10th (11 points).
  • Absences: AC Horsens 0, Randers FC 0.

Who will win AC Horsens vs Randers FC?

AC Horsens34%
Draw26%
Randers FC40%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

AC Horsens vs Randers FC: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals77.7% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.22
Likely
Draw or Randers FC (X2)66.0% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.41
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.3% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.47
Likely
Both sides to score: yes59.3% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.57
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.5% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.71
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.5% · fair odds 2.25 · best 2.23
Outsider
Both sides to score: no40.7% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.30
Outsider
Randers FC to win39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.46
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.7% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.77
Outsider
AC Horsens to win34.0% · fair odds 2.94 · best 2.81
Outsider
Draw26.4% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.76 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.6%
1 : 28.7%
0 : 18.3%
2 : 18.1%
1 : 07.7%
0 : 26.2%

AC Horsens vs Randers FC: who is missing

AC Horsens

  • No reported absences

Randers FC

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

AC Horsens vs Randers FC: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Midtjylland139-4-027:1531
2FC Copenhagen139-2-228:1229
3Viborg137-2-420:1223
4Brøndby137-1-523:2022
5FC Nordsjælland135-5-320:1720
6Odense134-5-415:1717
7AC Horsens134-4-523:2116
8Aarhus132-6-517:2112
9Silkeborg132-6-517:2412
10Randers FC133-2-813:2111
11Lyngby132-5-619:2811
12Sønderjyske132-2-917:318

Recent matches

AC Horsens

1 NovLViborg 1–0 AC Horsens
25 OctWAC Horsens 5–1 Sønderjyske
16 OctDAC Horsens 0–0 Randers FC
11 OctDSilkeborg 3–3 AC Horsens
20 SeptDAC Horsens 2–2 Aarhus

Randers FC

30 OctLLyngby 2–1 Randers FC
23 OctLRanders FC 1–3 Brøndby
16 OctDAC Horsens 0–0 Randers FC
11 OctLRanders FC 0–2 Viborg
20 SeptLSønderjyske 4–2 Randers FC

Home and away

AC Horsens at home7 matches: 2W 3D 2L, goals 12–10
Randers FC away6 matches: 1W 1D 4L, goals 6–8

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.2%

AC Horsens vs Randers FC: questions and answers

What is the best tip for AC Horsens vs Randers FC?

Our result tip is Draw or Randers FC (X2) (odds 1.41), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or Randers FC (X2).

Who will win AC Horsens vs Randers FC?

Our probabilities: AC Horsens to win 34%, a draw 26%, Randers FC to win 40%.

What time and where is kick-off?

16 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at CASA Arena, Horsens. Referee: Morten Krogh.

Who will be missing?

AC Horsens: no absences. Randers FC: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.71); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.23).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.57).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 1–2 (8.7%) and 0–1 (8.3%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Silkeborg vs Lyngby 6 NovOdense vs Viborg 7 NovFC Copenhagen vs Brøndby 8 NovAarhus vs AC Horsens 8 NovRanders FC vs FC Nordsjælland 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.