Bet with MINO CASINO →1. FC Magdeburg v FC St. Pauli is on 8 November 2026 · 12:30 at Avnet-Arena (Magdeburg). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, 1. FC Magdeburg are 5th with 17 points after 10 matches (5W 2D 3L), whereas FC St. Pauli are 8th with 12 points (2W 6D 2L).
- Attack and defence. 1. FC Magdeburg have scored 2.1 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; FC St. Pauli average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. 1. FC Magdeburg: 5W 2D 3L, goals 21–13; FC St. Pauli: 2W 6D 2L, goals 12–12.
- Head to head. In their 7 meetings so far, 1. FC Magdeburg have 1 win, FC St. Pauli have 5 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–14.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 7; 1. FC Magdeburg 1 win, 1 draw, FC St. Pauli 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: 1. FC Magdeburg 21–13, FC St. Pauli 12–12.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: 1. FC Magdeburg 0, FC St. Pauli 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
1. FC Magdeburg are missing: no absences. FC St. Pauli are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.40 | 3.65 | 2.88 |
| Market average | 2.32 | 3.53 | 2.74 |
| Lowest odds | 2.22 | 3.21 | 2.57 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.24 | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.48 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.42 | 38.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: 1. FC Magdeburg 1–1 FC St. Pauli, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: 1. FC Magdeburg 5th (17 points), FC St. Pauli 8th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: 1. FC Magdeburg 5W 2D 3L (21:13), FC St. Pauli 2W 6D 2L (12:12).
- H2H: 7 matches: 1. FC Magdeburg 1W 1D 5L, goals 6–14.
- Absences: 1. FC Magdeburg 0, FC St. Pauli 0.
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli: who is missing
1. FC Magdeburg
- No reported absences
FC St. Pauli
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
1. FC Magdeburg
Home and away
1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
1. FC MagdeburgDWLWDFC St. PauliLDDWD1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli: questions and answers
What is the best tip for 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli?
Our result tip is 1. FC Magdeburg or draw (1X) (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is 1. FC Magdeburg or draw (1X).
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs FC St. Pauli?
Our probabilities: 1. FC Magdeburg to win 40%, a draw 26%, FC St. Pauli to win 34%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Avnet-Arena, Magdeburg.
Who will be missing?
1. FC Magdeburg: no absences. FC St. Pauli: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–0 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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