Football
Home › Predictions › Trival Valderas vs Leganés
Copa del Rey · round 128 · 10 November 2026 · 19:00

Trival Valderas vs Leganés: tip, odds and prediction – 10 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Trival Valderas
VS
1Trival Valderas26.00
XDraw8.00
2Leganés1.14

Best available odds · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

MINO CASINOBet with MINO CASINO →
Kick-off in
0Days
0Hours
0Minutes
0Seconds
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisFAQ

Trival Valderas meet Leganés on 10 November 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganés). Leganés (83%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Trival Valderas vs Leganés: tip and prediction
Result
Leganés to win
1.14
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Combo
Leganés plus over 2.5 goals
1.80
55% · combo fair price
83%chance of the result
60%chance for the goals tip
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Leganés (X2) – 95% probability, top odds 1.01. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

Bet now →

Trival Valderas vs Leganés: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Leganés should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 0–3, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (15.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

    At 1.14, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 60%. We estimate both teams scoring at 31% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
    2. Absent: Trival Valderas 0, Leganés 0.

    Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

    Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Trival Valderas are missing: no absences. Leganés are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Trival Valderas vs Leganés: the odds compared

    Match result1X2
    Best available odds26.008.001.14
    Market average19.697.381.11
    Lowest odds14.577.031.09
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.171.1580.0%
    Over 2.5 goals1.571.5460.3%
    Under 2.5 goals2.382.3539.7%
    Over 3.5 goals2.382.3139.8%
    BTTS – yes3.403.0131.4%
    BTTS – no1.421.3668.6%

    Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 9.1%.

    All bookmakers →

    Match at a glance

    • Likely result: Trival Valderas 0–2 Leganés, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Trival Valderas 0, Leganés 0.

    Who will win Trival Valderas vs Leganés?

    Trival Valderas5%
    Draw12%
    Leganés83%

    We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

    Trival Valderas vs Leganés: more markets and betting tips

    Draw or Leganés (X2)95.1% · fair odds 1.05 · best 1.01
    Likely
    Leganés to win82.6% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.14
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals80.0% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.17
    Likely
    Both sides to score: no68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals60.3% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.55
    Likely
    Over 3.5 goals39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.38
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals39.7% · fair odds 2.52 · best 2.38
    Outsider
    Both sides to score: yes31.4% · fair odds 3.18 · best 3.40
    Outsider
    Draw12.5% · fair odds 8.02 · best 8.00
    Outsider
    Trival Valderas to win4.9% · fair odds 20.37 · best 26.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

    Most likely correct scores

    0 : 215.2%
    0 : 313.2%
    0 : 111.7%
    0 : 48.6%
    1 : 27.6%
    1 : 36.6%

    Trival Valderas vs Leganés: who is missing

    Trival Valderas

    • No reported absences

    Leganés

    • No reported absences

    This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin9.1%

    Trival Valderas vs Leganés: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Trival Valderas vs Leganés?

    Our result tip is Leganés to win (odds 1.14), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Draw or Leganés (X2).

    Who will win Trival Valderas vs Leganés?

    Our probabilities: Trival Valderas to win 5%, a draw 12%, Leganés to win 83%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    10 November 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés.

    Who will be missing?

    Trival Valderas: no absences. Leganés: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.38).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 31% probability (odds 3.40).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 0–2 (15.2%); after that come 0–3 (13.2%) and 0–1 (11.7%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

    More predictions

    Portugalete vs Real Unión 4 NovAmorebieta vs UD Logroñés 4 NovDeportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena 4 NovUtebo vs Sabadell 4 NovReddis vs Barakaldo 4 Nov

    18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.