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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 4 November 2026 · 19:30

Utebo vs Sabadell: tip, odds and prediction – 4 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Utebo
VS
1Utebo6.68
XDraw4.20
2Sabadell1.56

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 08:54

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Utebo meet Sabadell on 4 November 2026 · 19:30 at Campo Santa Ana (Utebo). Sabadell (61%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Utebo vs Sabadell: tip and prediction
Result
Sabadell to win
1.56
Goals
No to both teams scoring
1.83
Combo
Sabadell plus over 2.5 goals
2.80
36% · combo fair price
61%chance of the result
53%chance for the goals tip
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Sabadell (X2) – 85% probability, top odds 1.13.

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Utebo vs Sabadell: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds6.684.201.56
Market average6.173.861.52
Lowest odds5.603.601.48
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.311.2971.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.951.9348.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.871.8151.6%
Over 3.5 goals3.403.2328.6%
BTTS – yes2.031.9847.0%
BTTS – no1.831.7553.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Utebo 0–1 Sabadell, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Utebo 0, Sabadell 0.

Who will win Utebo vs Sabadell?

Utebo15%
Draw24%
Sabadell61%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Utebo vs Sabadell: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Sabadell (X2)84.9% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals71.5% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.31
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.4% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.31
Likely
Sabadell to win60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.56
Likely
Both sides to score: no53.0% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.83
Possible
Under 2.5 goals51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.87
Possible
Over 2.5 goals48.4% · fair odds 2.06 · best 1.95
Outsider
Both sides to score: yes47.0% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.03
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.6% · fair odds 3.50 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw24.1% · fair odds 4.15 · best 4.20
Outsider
Utebo to win15.1% · fair odds 6.63 · best 6.68
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

0 : 113.4%
0 : 212.0%
1 : 110.7%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 07.4%
0 : 37.2%

Utebo vs Sabadell: who is missing

Utebo

  • No reported absences

Sabadell

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Utebo vs Sabadell: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Sabadell should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (13.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

    Our tip for goals is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.83), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
    2. Absent: Utebo 0, Sabadell 0.

    Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

    Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 53%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Utebo are missing: no absences. Sabadell are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.9%

    Utebo vs Sabadell: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Utebo vs Sabadell?

    Our result tip is Sabadell to win (odds 1.56), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.83). The safer pick is Draw or Sabadell (X2).

    Who will win Utebo vs Sabadell?

    Our probabilities: Utebo to win 15%, a draw 24%, Sabadell to win 61%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    4 November 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Campo Santa Ana, Utebo.

    Who will be missing?

    Utebo: no absences. Sabadell: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.87).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 47% probability (odds 2.03).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 0–1 (13.4%); after that come 0–2 (12.0%) and 1–1 (10.7%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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    18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.