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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 4 November 2026 · 19:30

Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: tip, odds and prediction – 4 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Deportiva Minera
VS
FC Cartagena
1Deportiva Minera3.30
XDraw3.45
2FC Cartagena2.37

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 08:54

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Deportiva Minera meet FC Cartagena on 4 November 2026 · 19:30 at Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán (Cartagena). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or FC Cartagena (X2)
1.36
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
70%chance of the result
55%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

    Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 45%.
    2. Absent: Deportiva Minera 0, FC Cartagena 0.

    Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

    Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.82). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Deportiva Minera are missing: no absences. FC Cartagena are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: the odds compared

    Match result1X2
    Best available odds3.303.452.37
    Market average3.073.192.27
    Lowest odds2.892.902.18
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.361.3368.8%
    Over 2.5 goals2.092.0645.1%
    Under 2.5 goals1.751.6954.9%
    Over 3.5 goals3.753.5326.0%
    BTTS – yes1.821.8051.4%
    BTTS – no1.951.9048.6%

    Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.1%.

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    Match at a glance

    • Likely result: Deportiva Minera 1–1 FC Cartagena, roughly 2 goals in total.
    • Absences: Deportiva Minera 0, FC Cartagena 0.

    Who will win Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?

    Deportiva Minera30%
    Draw29%
    FC Cartagena41%

    We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

    Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: more markets and betting tips

    Under 3.5 goals74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.26
    Likely
    Draw or FC Cartagena (X2)69.8% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals68.8% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.36
    Likely
    Under 2.5 goals54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.75
    Possible
    Both sides to score: yes51.4% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.82
    Possible
    Both sides to score: no48.6% · fair odds 2.06 · best 1.95
    Outsider
    Over 2.5 goals45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.09
    Outsider
    FC Cartagena to win40.7% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.37
    Outsider
    Deportiva Minera to win30.2% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.30
    Outsider
    Draw29.1% · fair odds 3.44 · best 3.45
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals26.0% · fair odds 3.85 · best 3.75
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

    Most likely correct scores

    1 : 112.8%
    0 : 111.6%
    1 : 09.5%
    1 : 28.6%
    0 : 08.6%
    0 : 27.9%

    Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: who is missing

    Deportiva Minera

    • No reported absences

    FC Cartagena

    • No reported absences

    This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.1%

    Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?

    Our result tip is Draw or FC Cartagena (X2) (odds 1.36), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Draw or FC Cartagena (X2).

    Who will win Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena?

    Our probabilities: Deportiva Minera to win 30%, a draw 29%, FC Cartagena to win 41%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    4 November 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, Cartagena.

    Who will be missing?

    Deportiva Minera: no absences. FC Cartagena: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 45% (odds 2.09); under 2.5 goals is at 55% (odds 1.75).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.82).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.8%); after that come 0–1 (11.6%) and 1–0 (9.5%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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