Bet with MINO CASINO →Amorebieta are at home to UD Logroñés on 4 November 2026 · 19:00 at Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano). Our favourites are UD Logroñés (48%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Amorebieta have 3 wins, UD Logroñés have 2 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 8–9.
What to expect
UD Logroñés should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Amorebieta 3 wins, 3 draws, UD Logroñés 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: Amorebieta 0, UD Logroñés 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Amorebieta are missing: no absences. UD Logroñés are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.00 | 3.70 | 2.02 |
| Market average | 3.68 | 3.46 | 1.94 |
| Lowest odds | 3.38 | 3.20 | 1.88 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.87 | 49.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.87 | 50.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.09 | 29.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.73 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.00 | 46.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Amorebieta 1–1 UD Logroñés, roughly 3 goals in total.
- H2H: 8 matches: Amorebieta 3W 3D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Absences: Amorebieta 0, UD Logroñés 0.
Who will win Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: who is missing
Amorebieta
- No reported absences
UD Logroñés
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: head to head
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Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Our result tip is UD Logroñés to win (odds 2.02), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Draw or UD Logroñés (X2).
Who will win Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
Our probabilities: Amorebieta to win 25%, a draw 27%, UD Logroñés to win 48%.
What time and where is kick-off?
4 November 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano.
Who will be missing?
Amorebieta: no absences. UD Logroñés: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.93); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.0%); after that come 0–1 (11.0%) and 1–2 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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