Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sligo Rovers meet Derry City on 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Showgrounds (Sligo), refereed by D. Toland. Derry City (60%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.59 | 4.42 | 1.57 |
| Market average | 5.12 | 4.16 | 1.55 |
| Lowest odds | 4.73 | 3.73 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.64 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.28 | 2.20 | 42.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sligo Rovers 1–1 Derry City, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sligo Rovers 10th (25 points), Derry City 5th (48 points).
- Form in the competition: Sligo Rovers 5W 9D 21L (26:64), Derry City 11W 14D 10L (48:45).
- H2H: 34 matches: Sligo Rovers 9W 11D 14L, goals 30–40.
- Absences: Sligo Rovers 0, Derry City 0.
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: who is missing
Sligo Rovers
- No reported absences
Derry City
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Sligo Rovers
Home and away
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sligo Rovers are 10th with 25 points after 36 matches (5W 10D 21L), whereas Derry City are 5th with 48 points (11W 15D 10L).
- Attack and defence. Sligo Rovers have scored 0.7 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Derry City average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sligo Rovers: 5W 9D 21L, goals 26–64; Derry City: 11W 14D 10L, goals 48–45.
- Head to head. In their 34 meetings so far, Sligo Rovers have 9 wins, Derry City have 14 wins and 11 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 30–40.
What to expect
Derry City should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 34; Sligo Rovers 9 wins, 11 draws, Derry City 14 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sligo Rovers 26–64, Derry City 48–45.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Sligo Rovers 0, Derry City 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sligo Rovers are missing: no absences. Derry City are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Sligo RoversDLDLLDerry CityDWWLWSligo Rovers vs Derry City: head to head
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Sligo Rovers vs Derry City: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our result tip is Derry City to win (odds 1.57), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Derry City (X2).
Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?
Our probabilities: Sligo Rovers to win 18%, a draw 22%, Derry City to win 60%.
What time and where is kick-off?
30 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Showgrounds, Sligo. Referee: D. Toland.
Who will be missing?
Sligo Rovers: no absences. Derry City: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.28).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.2%); after that come 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–2 (10.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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