Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Guingamp v Saint-Étienne is on 31 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp); Benoit Millot takes charge. We think Saint-Étienne (51%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Guingamp are 9th with 14 points after 11 matches (4W 2D 5L), whereas Saint-Étienne are 1st with 25 points (8W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Guingamp have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Saint-Étienne average 2.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Guingamp: 3W 2D 5L, goals 13–15; Saint-Étienne: 8W 1D 1L, goals 23–8.
- Head to head. In their 19 meetings so far, Guingamp have 6 wins, Saint-Étienne have 11 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–28.
What to expect
Saint-Étienne should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 19; Guingamp 6 wins, 2 draws, Saint-Étienne 11 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Guingamp 13–15, Saint-Étienne 23–8.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Guingamp 0, Saint-Étienne 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Guingamp are missing: no absences. Saint-Étienne are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.41 | 3.79 | 1.90 |
| Market average | 4.04 | 3.57 | 1.81 |
| Lowest odds | 3.26 | 3.17 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.82 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.99 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.90 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.06 | 44.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 17:08. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Guingamp 1–1 Saint-Étienne, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Guingamp 9th (14 points), Saint-Étienne 1st (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Guingamp 3W 2D 5L (13:15), Saint-Étienne 8W 1D 1L (23:8).
- H2H: 19 matches: Guingamp 6W 2D 11L, goals 22–28.
- Absences: Guingamp 0, Saint-Étienne 0.
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: who is missing
Guingamp
- No reported absences
Saint-Étienne
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 |  Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Guingamp
Home and away
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
GuingampWWLLLSaint-ÉtienneLWWWDGuingamp vs Saint-Étienne: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
Saint-Étienne -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint-Étienne?
Our probabilities: Guingamp to win 23%, a draw 26%, Saint-Étienne to win 51%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp. Referee: Benoit Millot.
Who will be missing?
Guingamp: no absences. Saint-Étienne: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.82); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 0–1 (10.3%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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