Bet with MINO CASINO →Saint-Étienne are at home to Laval on 6 November 2026 · 19:00 at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Ètienne). Our favourites are Saint-Étienne (69%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Saint-Étienne vs Laval: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Saint-Étienne are 1st with 25 points after 11 matches (8W 1D 2L), whereas Laval are 16th with 9 points (2W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Saint-Étienne have scored 2.1 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Laval average 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Saint-Étienne: 8W 1D 2L, goals 23–11; Laval: 2W 3D 6L, goals 14–21.
- Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Saint-Étienne have 3 wins, Laval have 1 win and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 8–6.
What to expect
Saint-Étienne should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 6; Saint-Étienne 3 wins, 2 draws, Laval 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Saint-Étienne 23–11, Laval 14–21.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Absent: Saint-Étienne 0, Laval 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.60). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Saint-Étienne are missing: no absences. Laval are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Saint-Étienne vs Laval: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.40 | 5.26 | 8.41 |
| Market average | 1.35 | 4.89 | 7.85 |
| Lowest odds | 1.31 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.33 | 39.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.38 | 39.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.90 | 48.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:20. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Saint-Étienne 2–0 Laval, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Saint-Étienne 1st (25 points), Laval 16th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Saint-Étienne 8W 1D 2L (23:11), Laval 2W 3D 6L (14:21).
- H2H: 6 matches: Saint-Étienne 3W 2D 1L, goals 8–6.
- Absences: Saint-Étienne 0, Laval 0.
Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Laval?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Saint-Étienne vs Laval: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Saint-Étienne vs Laval: who is missing
Saint-Étienne
- No reported absences
Laval
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Saint-Étienne vs Laval: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint-Étienne | 11 | 8-1-2 | 23:11 | 25 |
| 2 |  Montpellier | 11 | 7-3-1 | 16:6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Nancy | 11 | 7-1-3 | 16:9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Reims | 11 | 5-6-0 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 5 |  PAU | 11 | 6-2-3 | 16:11 | 20 |
| 6 |  RED Star FC 93 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 11 | 5-1-5 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 |  Dijon | 11 | 4-3-4 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 9 |  Guingamp | 11 | 4-2-5 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 10 |  Metz | 11 | 3-5-3 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 11 |  Rodez | 11 | 4-1-6 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 12 |  Dunkerque | 11 | 3-3-5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sochaux | 11 | 2-5-4 | 8:14 | 11 |
| 14 |  Boulogne | 11 | 1-7-3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Nantes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 16 | Laval | 11 | 2-3-6 | 14:21 | 9 |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 11 | 0-8-3 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 18 |  Grenoble | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Saint-Étienne
Home and away
Saint-Étienne vs Laval: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Saint-ÉtienneLWWWDLavalWLDLDSaint-Étienne vs Laval: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Saint-Étienne vs Laval: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Saint-Étienne vs Laval?
Saint-Étienne -1 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Saint-Étienne vs Laval?
Our probabilities: Saint-Étienne to win 69%, a draw 19%, Laval to win 12%.
What time and where is kick-off?
6 November 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne.
Who will be missing?
Saint-Étienne: no absences. Laval: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.4%); after that come 1–0 (10.1%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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