Bet with MINO CASINO →Manchester City v Fulham is on 21 November 2026 · 12:30 at Etihad Stadium (Manchester). We think Manchester City (67%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Manchester City vs Fulham: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Manchester City are 2nd with 21 points after 9 matches (7W 0D 2L), whereas Fulham are 15th with 9 points (2W 3D 4L).
What to expect
Manchester City should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: Manchester City 0, Fulham 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.69). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Manchester City are missing: no absences. Fulham are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Manchester City vs Fulham: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.46 | 5.24 | 7.19 |
| Market average | 1.43 | 4.98 | 6.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.14 | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.50 | 63.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.56 | 37.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.36 | 2.30 | 41.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.11 | 44.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Manchester City 2–0 Fulham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Manchester City 2nd (21 points), Fulham 15th (9 points).
- Absences: Manchester City 0, Fulham 0.
Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Manchester City vs Fulham: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Manchester City vs Fulham: who is missing
Manchester City
- No reported absences
Fulham
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Manchester City vs Fulham: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
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Manchester City vs Fulham: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Manchester City vs Fulham?
Fulham +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?
Our probabilities: Manchester City to win 67%, a draw 19%, Fulham to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.
Who will be missing?
Manchester City: no absences. Fulham: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.52); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.3%); after that come 2–1 (9.8%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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