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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 4 November 2026 · 19:45

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: tip, odds and prediction – 4 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Calvo Sotelo
VS
1Calvo Sotelo5.80
XDraw4.40
2Albacete1.57

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 08:54

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Calvo Sotelo v Albacete is on 4 November 2026 · 19:45 at New Municipal Stadium Ciudad de Puertollano (Puertollano). We think Albacete (60%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: tip and prediction
Result
Albacete to win
1.57
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.46
Combo
Albacete plus over 2.5 goals
2.53
40% · combo fair price
60%chance of the result
63%chance for the goals tip
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Albacete (X2) – 83% probability, top odds 1.15.

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Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds5.804.401.57
Market average5.414.101.55
Lowest odds5.004.001.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1977.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6356.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.192.1543.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.622.5036.6%
BTTS – yes1.701.6954.8%
BTTS – no2.102.0545.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Calvo Sotelo 0–1 Albacete, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Calvo Sotelo 0, Albacete 0.

Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

Calvo Sotelo17%
Draw23%
Albacete60%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Albacete (X2)82.8% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.15
Likely
Over 1.5 goals77.4% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.21
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.4% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.46
Likely
Albacete to win60.1% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.8% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.67
Possible
Both sides to score: yes54.8% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.70
Possible
Both sides to score: no45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals43.2% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.19
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.6% · fair odds 2.73 · best 2.62
Outsider
Draw22.7% · fair odds 4.40 · best 4.40
Outsider
Calvo Sotelo to win17.2% · fair odds 5.81 · best 5.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

0 : 110.7%
0 : 210.5%
1 : 110.2%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 36.8%
1 : 36.5%

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: who is missing

Calvo Sotelo

  • No reported absences

Albacete

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Albacete should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

    Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
    2. Absent: Calvo Sotelo 0, Albacete 0.

    Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

    Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Calvo Sotelo are missing: no absences. Albacete are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.5%

    Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

    Our result tip is Albacete to win (odds 1.57), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46). The safer pick is Draw or Albacete (X2).

    Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

    Our probabilities: Calvo Sotelo to win 17%, a draw 23%, Albacete to win 60%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    4 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at New Municipal Stadium Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano.

    Who will be missing?

    Calvo Sotelo: no absences. Albacete: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.19).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.70).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 0–1 (10.7%); after that come 0–2 (10.5%) and 1–1 (10.2%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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    18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.