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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:00

Varea vs FC Andorra: tip, odds and prediction – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Varea
0–3
1Varea26.00
XDraw9.00
2FC Andorra1.14

Best available odds · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Varea v FC Andorra is on 29 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Las Gaunas. We think FC Andorra (83%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Varea vs FC Andorra: tip and prediction
Result
FC Andorra to win
1.14
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.67
Combo
FC Andorra plus over 2.5 goals
1.90
53% · combo fair price
83%chance of the result
57%chance for the goals tip
0–2likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or FC Andorra (X2) – 95% probability, top odds 1.02. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Varea vs FC Andorra: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds26.009.001.14
Market average20.587.411.11
Lowest odds14.446.101.08
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1977.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6456.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.202.1443.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5735.7%
BTTS – yes3.703.2928.3%
BTTS – no1.331.3071.7%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Varea 0–2 FC Andorra, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Varea 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–3.
  • Absences: Varea 0, FC Andorra 0.

Who will win Varea vs FC Andorra?

Varea5%
Draw13%
FC Andorra83%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Varea vs FC Andorra: more markets and betting tips

Draw or FC Andorra (X2)95.4% · fair odds 1.05 · best 1.02
Likely
FC Andorra to win82.8% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals77.7% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.21
Likely
Both sides to score: no71.7% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.3% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.44
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.6% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.67
Possible
Under 2.5 goals43.4% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.7% · fair odds 2.80 · best 2.63
Outsider
Both sides to score: yes28.3% · fair odds 3.53 · best 3.70
Outsider
Draw12.6% · fair odds 7.94 · best 9.00
Outsider
Varea to win4.6% · fair odds 21.77 · best 26.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

0 : 216.4%
0 : 313.6%
0 : 113.1%
0 : 48.5%
1 : 27.4%
1 : 36.1%

Varea vs FC Andorra: who is missing

Varea

  • No reported absences

FC Andorra

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Varea vs FC Andorra: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Varea have 0 wins, FC Andorra have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 0–3.

What to expect

FC Andorra should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 0–2, about 2 goals combined, and 0–2 (16.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

At 1.14, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 28% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Varea 0 wins, 0 draws, FC Andorra 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
  4. Absent: Varea 0, FC Andorra 0.

Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 2.5 goals (probability 43%, best available odds 2.20). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Varea are missing: no absences. FC Andorra are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Varea vs FC Andorra: head to head

All matches
0Varea
0Draws
1FC Andorra
29/10/26 · Varea 0–3 FC Andorra

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.4%

Varea vs FC Andorra: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Varea vs FC Andorra?

Our result tip is FC Andorra to win (odds 1.14), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or FC Andorra (X2).

Who will win Varea vs FC Andorra?

Our probabilities: Varea to win 5%, a draw 13%, FC Andorra to win 83%.

What time and where is kick-off?

29 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Estadio Las Gaunas.

Who will be missing?

Varea: no absences. FC Andorra: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.67); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.20).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 28% probability (odds 3.70).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 0–2 (16.4%); after that come 0–3 (13.6%) and 0–1 (13.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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