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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 20:00

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Tudelano
0–4
Zaragoza
1Tudelano7.00
XDraw4.33
2Zaragoza1.55

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Tudelano v Zaragoza is on 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Tudela (Tudela). We think Zaragoza (61%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: tip and prediction
Result
Zaragoza to win
1.55
Goals
No to both teams scoring
1.80
Combo
Zaragoza plus over 2.5 goals
2.80
36% · combo fair price
61%chance of the result
54%chance for the goals tip
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Zaragoza (X2) – 84% probability, top odds 1.14.

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Tudelano vs Zaragoza: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Tudelano have 0 wins, Zaragoza have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 0–4.

What to expect

Zaragoza should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (13.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Tudelano 0 wins, 0 draws, Zaragoza 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
  4. Absent: Tudelano 0, Zaragoza 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 54%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Tudelano are missing: no absences. Zaragoza are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds7.004.331.55
Market average5.973.901.52
Lowest odds5.323.561.45
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.3070.7%
Over 2.5 goals2.001.9547.8%
Under 2.5 goals1.821.7952.2%
Over 3.5 goals3.503.2928.0%
BTTS – yes2.202.0245.9%
BTTS – no1.801.7154.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Tudelano 0–1 Zaragoza, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Tudelano 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–4.
  • Absences: Tudelano 0, Zaragoza 0.

Who will win Tudelano vs Zaragoza?

Tudelano16%
Draw24%
Zaragoza61%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Zaragoza (X2)84.4% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Under 3.5 goals72.0% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.30
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.7% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.34
Likely
Zaragoza to win60.7% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.55
Likely
Both sides to score: no54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals52.2% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.82
Possible
Over 2.5 goals47.8% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.00
Outsider
Both sides to score: yes45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.0% · fair odds 3.58 · best 3.50
Outsider
Draw23.7% · fair odds 4.22 · best 4.33
Outsider
Tudelano to win15.6% · fair odds 6.43 · best 7.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.96 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.4%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 113.4%
0 : 212.0%
1 : 110.7%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 07.4%
0 : 37.2%

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: who is missing

Tudelano

  • No reported absences

Zaragoza

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: head to head

0Tudelano
0Draws
1Zaragoza
27/10/26 · Tudelano 0–4 Zaragoza

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Tudelano vs Zaragoza?

Our result tip is Zaragoza to win (odds 1.55), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Draw or Zaragoza (X2).

Who will win Tudelano vs Zaragoza?

Our probabilities: Tudelano to win 16%, a draw 24%, Zaragoza to win 61%.

What time and where is kick-off?

27 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Tudela, Tudela.

Who will be missing?

Tudelano: no absences. Zaragoza: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.00); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.82).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 46% probability (odds 2.20).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 0–1 (13.4%); after that come 0–2 (12.0%) and 1–1 (10.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.