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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 5 November 2026 · 18:00

Tarancón vs Levante: tip, odds and prediction – 5 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Tarancón
VS
1Tarancón15.00
XDraw9.50
2Levante1.17

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 08:54

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Tarancón are at home to Levante on 5 November 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio Municipal de Tarancón (Tarancón). Our favourites are Levante (81%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Tarancón vs Levante: tip and prediction
Result
Levante to win
1.17
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.82
Combo
Levante plus over 2.5 goals
1.60
63% · combo fair price
81%chance of the result
53%chance for the goals tip
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Levante (X2) – 93% probability, top odds 1.04. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Tarancón vs Levante: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Levante should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–3, about 4 goals combined, and 0–2 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

    At 1.17, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.82), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 71%.
    2. Absent: Tarancón 0, Levante 0.

    Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

    Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Tarancón are missing: no absences. Levante are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Tarancón vs Levante: the odds compared

    Match result1X2
    Best available odds15.009.501.17
    Market average12.958.051.15
    Lowest odds9.836.801.12
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.101.0687.0%
    Over 2.5 goals1.361.3070.8%
    Under 2.5 goals3.503.1629.2%
    Over 3.5 goals1.821.7652.7%
    BTTS – yes2.001.9048.8%
    BTTS – no1.851.8151.2%

    Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.

    All bookmakers →

    Match at a glance

    • Likely result: Tarancón 0–2 Levante, roughly 4 goals in total.
    • Absences: Tarancón 0, Levante 0.

    Who will win Tarancón vs Levante?

    Tarancón7%
    Draw12%
    Levante81%

    We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

    Tarancón vs Levante: more markets and betting tips

    Draw or Levante (X2)92.7% · fair odds 1.08 · best 1.04
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals87.0% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.10
    Likely
    Levante to win81.0% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.17
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals70.8% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
    Likely
    Over 3.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.82
    Possible
    Both sides to score: no51.2% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.85
    Possible
    Both sides to score: yes48.8% · fair odds 2.05 · best 2.00
    Outsider
    Under 3.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.00
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals29.2% · fair odds 3.42 · best 3.50
    Outsider
    Draw11.6% · fair odds 8.59 · best 9.50
    Outsider
    Tarancón to win7.3% · fair odds 13.64 · best 15.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

    Most likely correct scores

    0 : 210.9%
    0 : 310.6%
    1 : 28.2%
    1 : 37.9%
    0 : 47.7%
    0 : 17.5%

    Tarancón vs Levante: who is missing

    Tarancón

    • No reported absences

    Levante

    • No reported absences

    This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.7%

    Tarancón vs Levante: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Tarancón vs Levante?

    Our result tip is Levante to win (odds 1.17), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.82). The safer pick is Draw or Levante (X2).

    Who will win Tarancón vs Levante?

    Our probabilities: Tarancón to win 7%, a draw 12%, Levante to win 81%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    5 November 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Estadio Municipal de Tarancón, Tarancón.

    Who will be missing?

    Tarancón: no absences. Levante: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 71% (odds 1.36); under 2.5 goals is at 29% (odds 3.50).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 2.00).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 0–2 (10.9%); after that come 0–3 (10.6%) and 1–2 (8.2%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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    18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.