Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stevenage v Plymouth is on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Broadhall Way (Stevenage). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Stevenage are 16th with 16 points after 12 matches (4W 4D 4L), whereas Plymouth are 5th with 23 points (7W 2D 5L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Stevenage 0, Plymouth 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Stevenage are missing: no absences. Plymouth are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.78 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Market average | 2.70 | 3.35 | 2.48 |
| Lowest odds | 2.54 | 3.07 | 2.43 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.86 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.91 | 49.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.05 | 30.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.11 | 44.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stevenage 16th (16 points), Plymouth 5th (23 points).
- Absences: Stevenage 0, Plymouth 0.
Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Stevenage vs Plymouth: who is missing
Stevenage
- No reported absences
Plymouth
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Stevenage vs Plymouth: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 |
| 4 |  Luton | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 12 |  Mansfield Town | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
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Stevenage vs Plymouth: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Stevenage or draw (1X) (1.57); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Our probabilities: Stevenage to win 35%, a draw 28%, Plymouth to win 38%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Broadhall Way, Stevenage.
Who will be missing?
Stevenage: no absences. Plymouth: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.92); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.4%); after that come 0–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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