Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons is on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Broadhall Way (Stevenage). We think Stevenage (47%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Stevenage are 16th with 16 points after 12 matches (4W 4D 4L), whereas Milton Keynes Dons are 11th with 18 points (4W 6D 3L).
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Stevenage have 6 wins, Milton Keynes Dons have 7 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 23–28.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Stevenage 6 wins, 4 draws, Milton Keynes Dons 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Absent: Stevenage 0, Milton Keynes Dons 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.95). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Stevenage are missing: no absences. Milton Keynes Dons are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.06 | 3.40 | 4.09 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.34 | 3.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.33 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.05 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.74 | 54.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.53 | 26.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.84 | 50.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.88 | 49.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Stevenage 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stevenage 16th (16 points), Milton Keynes Dons 11th (18 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: Stevenage 6W 4D 7L, goals 23–28.
- Absences: Stevenage 0, Milton Keynes Dons 0.
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: who is missing
Stevenage
- No reported absences
Milton Keynes Dons
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 |
| 4 |  Luton | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 12 |  Mansfield Town | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Stevenage
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Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: head to head
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Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our result tip is Stevenage to win (odds 2.06), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Stevenage or draw (1X).
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Our probabilities: Stevenage to win 47%, a draw 28%, Milton Keynes Dons to win 25%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Broadhall Way, Stevenage.
Who will be missing?
Stevenage: no absences. Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.13); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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