Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
OH Leuven v Lommel United is on 24 October 2026 · 17:15 at The King Power AT Den Dreef Stadium (Heverlee); Jan Boterberg, Belgium takes charge. We think OH Leuven (50%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.95 | 3.93 | 3.89 |
| Market average | 1.89 | 3.76 | 3.67 |
| Lowest odds | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.58 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.33 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.45 | 38.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.36 | 39.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: OH Leuven 1–1 Lommel United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: OH Leuven 13th (9 points), Lommel United 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: OH Leuven 1W 2D 5L (6:14), Lommel United 3W 2D 3L (9:9).
- H2H: 18 matches: OH Leuven 10W 5D 3L, goals 36–21.
- Absences: OH Leuven 0, Lommel United 0.
Who will win OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: who is missing
OH Leuven
- No reported absences
Lommel United
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Brugge KV | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Gent | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 6 |  Genk | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Lommel United | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 8 |  KVC Westerlo | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 |
| 9 |  Standard Liège | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  Zulte Waregem | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 |
| 11 |  Antwerp | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 13 | OH Leuven | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  St. Truiden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cercle Brugge | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 18 |  Kortrijk | 9 | 1-1-7 | 3:19 | 4 |
Recent matches
OH Leuven
Home and away
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, OH Leuven are 13th with 9 points after 10 matches (2W 3D 5L), whereas Lommel United are 7th with 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. OH Leuven have scored 0.8 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Lommel United average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. OH Leuven: 1W 2D 5L, goals 6–14; Lommel United: 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–9.
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, OH Leuven have 10 wins, Lommel United have 3 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 36–21.
What to expect
OH Leuven should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Lommel United are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; OH Leuven 10 wins, 5 draws, Lommel United 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: OH Leuven 6–14, Lommel United 9–9.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: OH Leuven 0, Lommel United 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
OH Leuven are missing: no absences. Lommel United are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
OH LeuvenWDDWDLommel UnitedWDWDLOH Leuven vs Lommel United: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
OH Leuven vs Lommel United: questions and answers
What is the best tip for OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
Our result tip is OH Leuven to win (odds 1.95), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is OH Leuven or draw (1X).
Who will win OH Leuven vs Lommel United?
Our probabilities: OH Leuven to win 50%, a draw 25%, Lommel United to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 17:15, at The King Power AT Den Dreef Stadium, Heverlee. Referee: Jan Boterberg, Belgium.
Who will be missing?
OH Leuven: no absences. Lommel United: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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