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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 18:00

Sestao River vs Espanyol: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Sestao River
4–3
1Sestao River7.50
XDraw4.63
2Espanyol1.48

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 17:43

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Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sestao River meet Espanyol on 27 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao). Espanyol (64%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Sestao River vs Espanyol: tip and prediction
Result
Espanyol to win
1.48
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
Combo
Espanyol plus over 2.5 goals
2.43
41% · combo fair price
64%chance of the result
54%chance for the goals tip
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Espanyol (X2) – 86% probability, top odds 1.11.

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Sestao River vs Espanyol: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds7.504.631.48
Market average6.454.381.43
Lowest odds5.613.861.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.2175.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7254.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.152.0545.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.952.7233.9%
BTTS – yes1.951.8749.4%
BTTS – no1.871.8350.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 17:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sestao River 0–2 Espanyol, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Sestao River 0, Espanyol 0.

Who will win Sestao River vs Espanyol?

Sestao River14%
Draw21%
Espanyol64%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Sestao River vs Espanyol: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Espanyol (X2)85.6% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.9% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.23
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.42
Likely
Espanyol to win64.5% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.48
Likely
Over 2.5 goals54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: no50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.87
Possible
Both sides to score: yes49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.15
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.95
Outsider
Draw21.1% · fair odds 4.73 · best 4.63
Outsider
Sestao River to win14.4% · fair odds 6.95 · best 7.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.78 · Under 1.95
probability of over 52.3%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 211.6%
0 : 111.6%
1 : 29.8%
1 : 19.8%
0 : 37.7%
1 : 36.6%

Sestao River vs Espanyol: who is missing

Sestao River

  • No reported absences

Espanyol

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Sestao River vs Espanyol: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Espanyol should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

    Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
    2. Absent: Sestao River 0, Espanyol 0.

    Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

    Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.87). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Sestao River are missing: no absences. Espanyol are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.3%

    Sestao River vs Espanyol: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Sestao River vs Espanyol?

    Our result tip is Espanyol to win (odds 1.48), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Draw or Espanyol (X2).

    Who will win Sestao River vs Espanyol?

    Our probabilities: Sestao River to win 14%, a draw 21%, Espanyol to win 64%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    27 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao.

    Who will be missing?

    Sestao River: no absences. Espanyol: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.15).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.95).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 0–2 (11.6%); after that come 0–1 (11.6%) and 1–2 (9.8%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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