Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
RSD Alcalá v Las Palmas is on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Municipal El Val (Alcalá de Henares). We think Las Palmas (61%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.80 | 4.50 | 1.57 |
| Market average | 5.45 | 4.17 | 1.52 |
| Lowest odds | 4.90 | 3.71 | 1.46 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 75.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.73 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.92 | 2.75 | 33.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.81 | 51.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.91 | 48.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: RSD Alcalá 0–1 Las Palmas, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: RSD Alcalá 0, Las Palmas 0.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: who is missing
RSD Alcalá
- No reported absences
Las Palmas
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
What to expect
Las Palmas should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Absent: RSD Alcalá 0, Las Palmas 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
RSD Alcalá are missing: no absences. Las Palmas are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: questions and answers
What is the best tip for RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
Our result tip is Las Palmas to win (odds 1.57), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.76). The safer pick is Draw or Las Palmas (X2).
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
Our probabilities: RSD Alcalá to win 17%, a draw 22%, Las Palmas to win 61%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Estadio Municipal El Val, Alcalá de Henares.
Who will be missing?
RSD Alcalá: no absences. Las Palmas: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.76); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.91).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (11.6%); after that come 0–2 (11.0%) and 1–1 (10.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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