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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 20:00

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander: tip, odds and prediction – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Ribadesella CF
WD
0–2
1Ribadesella CF50.00
XDraw21.00
2Racing Santander1.04

Best available odds · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Ribadesella CF are at home to Racing Santander on 29 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Oreyana (Ribadesella). Our favourites are Racing Santander (90%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander: tip and prediction
Result
Racing Santander to win
1.04
Goals
No to both teams scoring
1.57
Combo
Racing Santander plus over 2.5 goals
1.27
79% · combo fair price
90%chance of the result
60%chance for the goals tip
0–3likely score
≈ 5 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Racing Santander (X2) – 97% probability, top odds 1.05. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds50.0021.001.04
Market average33.8614.461.04
Lowest odds25.009.001.02
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.041.0392.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.121.1283.2%
Under 2.5 goals6.005.5516.8%
Over 3.5 goals1.401.3767.0%
BTTS – yes2.402.3239.8%
BTTS – no1.571.5360.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Ribadesella CF 0–3 Racing Santander, roughly 5 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Ribadesella CF 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–2.
  • Absences: Ribadesella CF 0, Racing Santander 0.

Who will win Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander?

Ribadesella CF3%
Draw7%
Racing Santander90%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Racing Santander (X2)97.1% · fair odds 1.03 · best 1.05
Likely
Over 1.5 goals92.4% · fair odds 1.08 · best 1.04
Likely
Racing Santander to win90.2% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.04
Likely
Over 2.5 goals83.2% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.12
Likely
Over 3.5 goals67.0% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.40
Likely
Both sides to score: no60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Both sides to score: yes39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals33.0% · fair odds 3.03 · best 3.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals16.8% · fair odds 5.94 · best 6.00
Outsider
Draw6.9% · fair odds 14.45 · best 21.00
Outsider
Ribadesella CF to win2.9% · fair odds 34.73 · best 50.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.70 · Under 2.05
probability of over 54.7%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 310.1%
0 : 49.7%
0 : 27.8%
0 : 57.4%
1 : 37.0%
1 : 46.8%

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander: who is missing

Ribadesella CF

  • No reported absences

Racing Santander

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Ribadesella CF have 0 wins, Racing Santander have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 0–2.

What to expect

Racing Santander should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–4, about 5 goals combined, and 0–3 (10.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

At 1.04, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: No to both teams scoring (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 60%. We estimate both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 83%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Ribadesella CF 0 wins, 0 draws, Racing Santander 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 5 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 83%.
  4. Absent: Ribadesella CF 0, Racing Santander 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 5 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Ribadesella CF are missing: no absences. Racing Santander are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander: team stats compared

Ribadesella CFRacing Santander
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
0%Defence100%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Ribadesella CFWD
Racing Santander

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander: head to head

All matches
0Ribadesella CF
0Draws
1Racing Santander
29/10/26 · Ribadesella CF 0–2 Racing Santander

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander?

Our result tip is Racing Santander to win (odds 1.04), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Draw or Racing Santander (X2).

Who will win Ribadesella CF vs Racing Santander?

Our probabilities: Ribadesella CF to win 3%, a draw 7%, Racing Santander to win 90%.

What time and where is kick-off?

29 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadio Oreyana, Ribadesella.

Who will be missing?

Ribadesella CF: no absences. Racing Santander: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 83% (odds 1.12); under 2.5 goals is at 17% (odds 6.00).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 40% probability (odds 2.40).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 0–3 (10.1%); after that come 0–4 (9.7%) and 0–2 (7.8%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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