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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 20:00

Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Recreativo Huelva
2–3
1Recreativo Huelva7.00
XDraw4.70
2Rayo Vallecano1.49

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Recreativo Huelva are at home to Rayo Vallecano on 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Nuevo Colombino (Huelva). Our favourites are Rayo Vallecano (64%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: tip and prediction
Result
Rayo Vallecano to win
1.49
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
Combo
Rayo Vallecano plus over 2.5 goals
2.36
42% · combo fair price
64%chance of the result
64%chance for the goals tip
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Rayo Vallecano (X2) – 85% probability, top odds 1.12.

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Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Rayo Vallecano should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

    Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
    2. Absent: Recreativo Huelva 0, Rayo Vallecano 0.

    Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

    Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Recreativo Huelva are missing: no absences. Rayo Vallecano are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: the odds compared

    Match result1X2
    Best available odds7.004.701.49
    Market average6.384.381.43
    Lowest odds5.423.931.40
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.221.1877.7%
    Over 2.5 goals1.651.6357.1%
    Under 2.5 goals2.252.1742.9%
    Over 3.5 goals2.632.5336.4%
    BTTS – yes1.801.7951.9%
    BTTS – no2.001.9348.1%

    Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.5%.

    All bookmakers →

    Match at a glance

    • Likely result: Recreativo Huelva 0–2 Rayo Vallecano, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Recreativo Huelva 0, Rayo Vallecano 0.

    Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?

    Recreativo Huelva15%
    Draw21%
    Rayo Vallecano64%

    We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

    Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: more markets and betting tips

    Draw or Rayo Vallecano (X2)85.5% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.12
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals77.7% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.22
    Likely
    Rayo Vallecano to win64.4% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.49
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals63.6% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.50
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals57.1% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.65
    Possible
    Both sides to score: yes51.9% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.80
    Possible
    Both sides to score: no48.1% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.00
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals42.9% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.25
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals36.4% · fair odds 2.75 · best 2.63
    Outsider
    Draw21.1% · fair odds 4.75 · best 4.70
    Outsider
    Recreativo Huelva to win14.5% · fair odds 6.88 · best 7.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

    Corners and cards

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 1.88 · Under 1.83
    probability of over 49.2%

    Most likely correct scores

    0 : 211.0%
    0 : 110.7%
    1 : 29.9%
    1 : 19.7%
    0 : 37.5%
    1 : 36.8%

    Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: who is missing

    Recreativo Huelva

    • No reported absences

    Rayo Vallecano

    • No reported absences

    This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.5%

    Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?

    Our result tip is Rayo Vallecano to win (odds 1.49), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Draw or Rayo Vallecano (X2).

    Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano?

    Our probabilities: Recreativo Huelva to win 15%, a draw 21%, Rayo Vallecano to win 64%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    27 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Nuevo Colombino, Huelva.

    Who will be missing?

    Recreativo Huelva: no absences. Rayo Vallecano: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.25).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.80).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 0–2 (11.0%); after that come 0–1 (10.7%) and 1–2 (9.9%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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