Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Poblense are at home to AD Ceuta FC on 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla (Sa Pobla). Our favourites are AD Ceuta FC (53%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.75 | 3.95 | 1.82 |
| Market average | 4.13 | 3.74 | 1.74 |
| Lowest odds | 3.80 | 3.42 | 1.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.70 | 55.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.08 | 44.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.83 | 2.66 | 34.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.09 | 44.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Poblense 1–1 AD Ceuta FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Poblense 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: who is missing
Poblense
- No reported absences
AD Ceuta FC
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
What to expect
AD Ceuta FC should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Poblense 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.70). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Poblense are missing: no absences. AD Ceuta FC are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our result tip is AD Ceuta FC to win (odds 1.82), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Draw or AD Ceuta FC (X2).
Who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our probabilities: Poblense to win 22%, a draw 25%, AD Ceuta FC to win 53%.
What time and where is kick-off?
29 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla.
Who will be missing?
Poblense: no absences. AD Ceuta FC: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.74); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.16).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.70).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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