Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Numancia v Oviedo is on 29 October 2026 · 17:00 at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria); Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain takes charge. We think Oviedo (50%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Numancia vs Oviedo: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Head to head. In their 8 meetings so far, Numancia have 2 wins, Oviedo have 3 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 10–10.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 0–1 (13.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.65), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 8; Numancia 2 wins, 3 draws, Oviedo 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Absent: Numancia 0, Oviedo 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 53%, best available odds 1.76). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Numancia are missing: no absences. Oviedo are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Numancia vs Oviedo: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.93 |
| Market average | 4.05 | 3.38 | 1.87 |
| Lowest odds | 3.85 | 3.11 | 1.84 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.63 | 57.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.33 | 3.93 | 23.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.76 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 13:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Numancia 0–1 Oviedo, roughly 2 goals in total.
- H2H: 8 matches: Numancia 2W 3D 3L, goals 10–10.
- Absences: Numancia 0, Oviedo 0.
Who will win Numancia vs Oviedo?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Numancia vs Oviedo: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Numancia vs Oviedo: who is missing
Numancia
- No reported absences
Oviedo
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Numancia vs Oviedo: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Numancia vs Oviedo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Numancia vs Oviedo: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Numancia vs Oviedo?
Numancia or draw (1X) (1.91); Under 2.5 goals (1.65).
Who will win Numancia vs Oviedo?
Our probabilities: Numancia to win 23%, a draw 27%, Oviedo to win 50%.
What time and where is kick-off?
29 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria. Referee: Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Numancia: no absences. Oviedo: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 43% (odds 2.25); under 2.5 goals is at 57% (odds 1.65).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 47% probability (odds 2.05).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–1 (13.8%); after that come 1–1 (12.4%) and 0–2 (10.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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