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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 10 November 2026 · 19:00

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: tip, odds and prediction – 10 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Mijas Las Lagunas
VS
Real Jaén
1Mijas Las Lagunas3.40
XDraw3.50
2Real Jaén2.19

Best available odds · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Mijas Las Lagunas are at home to Real Jaén on 10 November 2026 · 19:00. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Real Jaén (X2)
1.33
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
71%chance of the result
56%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.403.502.19
Market average3.173.402.14
Lowest odds3.013.312.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2374.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.851.8351.6%
Under 2.5 goals1.961.9548.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8831.9%
BTTS – yes1.671.6555.9%
BTTS – no2.102.1044.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Mijas Las Lagunas 1–1 Real Jaén, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 2 matches: Mijas Las Lagunas 1W 1D 0L, goals 4–1.
  • Absences: Mijas Las Lagunas 0, Real Jaén 0.

Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Mijas Las Lagunas29%
Draw27%
Real Jaén43%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.25
Likely
Draw or Real Jaén (X2)70.7% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.1% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.37
Likely
Both sides to score: yes55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.85
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.96
Outsider
Both sides to score: no44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.10
Outsider
Real Jaén to win43.4% · fair odds 2.30 · best 2.19
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.9% · fair odds 3.13 · best 3.00
Outsider
Mijas Las Lagunas to win29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw27.3% · fair odds 3.67 · best 3.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.1%
0 : 110.1%
1 : 29.1%
1 : 08.1%
0 : 27.6%
2 : 17.3%

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: who is missing

Mijas Las Lagunas

  • No reported absences

Real Jaén

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 2 meetings so far, Mijas Las Lagunas have 1 win, Real Jaén have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–1.

What to expect

Real Jaén should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 2; Mijas Las Lagunas 1 win, 1 draw, Real Jaén 0 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
  4. Absent: Mijas Las Lagunas 0, Real Jaén 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Mijas Las Lagunas are missing: no absences. Real Jaén are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: team stats compared

Mijas Las LagunasReal Jaén
80%Head to head20%
80%Goals20%
80.0%Overall20.0%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: head to head

1Mijas Las Lagunas
1Draws
0Real Jaén
18/1/25 · Mijas Las Lagunas 3–0 Real Jaén
8/9/24 · Real Jaén 1–1 Mijas Las Lagunas

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.8%

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Our result tip is Draw or Real Jaén (X2) (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Real Jaén (X2).

Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?

Our probabilities: Mijas Las Lagunas to win 29%, a draw 27%, Real Jaén to win 43%.

What time and where is kick-off?

10 November 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at to be confirmed.

Who will be missing?

Mijas Las Lagunas: no absences. Real Jaén: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 1.96).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.