Mijas Las Lagunas are at home to Real Jaén on 10 November 2026 · 19:00. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.19 |
| Market average | 3.17 | 3.40 | 2.14 |
| Lowest odds | 3.01 | 3.31 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.23 | 74.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.83 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.95 | 48.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.88 | 31.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.65 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.10 | 44.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Mijas Las Lagunas 1–1 Real Jaén, roughly 3 goals in total.
- H2H: 2 matches: Mijas Las Lagunas 1W 1D 0L, goals 4–1.
- Absences: Mijas Las Lagunas 0, Real Jaén 0.
Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: who is missing
Mijas Las Lagunas
- No reported absences
Real Jaén
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Head to head. In their 2 meetings so far, Mijas Las Lagunas have 1 win, Real Jaén have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–1.
What to expect
Real Jaén should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 2; Mijas Las Lagunas 1 win, 1 draw, Real Jaén 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Mijas Las Lagunas 0, Real Jaén 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Mijas Las Lagunas are missing: no absences. Real Jaén are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: head to head
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Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
Our result tip is Draw or Real Jaén (X2) (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Real Jaén (X2).
Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
Our probabilities: Mijas Las Lagunas to win 29%, a draw 27%, Real Jaén to win 43%.
What time and where is kick-off?
10 November 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at to be confirmed.
Who will be missing?
Mijas Las Lagunas: no absences. Real Jaén: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.1%); after that come 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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