Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Mansfield Town v Notts County is on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Field Mill (Mansfield). We think Mansfield Town (50%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Mansfield Town vs Notts County: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Mansfield Town are 12th with 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L), whereas Notts County are 17th with 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Mansfield Town have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Notts County average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Mansfield Town: 5W 3D 3L, goals 20–16; Notts County: 2W 5D 4L, goals 11–14.
- Head to head. In their 14 meetings so far, Mansfield Town have 8 wins, Notts County have 4 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 24–13.
What to expect
Mansfield Town should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 14; Mansfield Town 8 wins, 2 draws, Notts County 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Mansfield Town 20–16, Notts County 11–14.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Mansfield Town 0, Notts County 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Mansfield Town are missing: no absences. Notts County are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Mansfield Town vs Notts County: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.90 | 3.81 | 4.14 |
| Market average | 1.84 | 3.62 | 3.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.73 | 3.19 | 3.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.24 | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.79 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.98 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.91 | 31.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.70 | 54.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.05 | 45.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 09:44. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Mansfield Town 1–1 Notts County, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Mansfield Town 12th (18 points), Notts County 17th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Mansfield Town 5W 3D 3L (20:16), Notts County 2W 5D 4L (11:14).
- H2H: 14 matches: Mansfield Town 8W 2D 4L, goals 24–13.
- Absences: Mansfield Town 0, Notts County 0.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Mansfield Town vs Notts County: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Mansfield Town vs Notts County: who is missing
Mansfield Town
- No reported absences
Notts County
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Mansfield Town vs Notts County: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 | |
| 15 | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 | |
| 19 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 | |
| 22 | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 | |
| 23 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 | |
| 24 | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Mansfield Town
Home and away
Mansfield Town vs Notts County: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Mansfield Town vs Notts County: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Mansfield Town vs Notts County: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
Our result tip is Mansfield Town to win (odds 1.90), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Mansfield Town or draw (1X).
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Notts County?
Our probabilities: Mansfield Town to win 50%, a draw 26%, Notts County to win 24%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Field Mill, Mansfield.
Who will be missing?
Mansfield Town: no absences. Notts County: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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