Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon are at home to Mansfield Town on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Plough Lane (Wimbledon). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.47 | 3.61 | 2.17 |
| Market average | 3.32 | 3.41 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.12 | 3.14 | 2.04 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.98 | 47.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 20/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Mansfield Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AFC Wimbledon 18th (13 points), Mansfield Town 12th (18 points).
- Absences: AFC Wimbledon 0, Mansfield Town 0.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: who is missing
AFC Wimbledon
- No reported absences
Mansfield Town
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 |
| 4 |  Luton | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 |  Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
AFC Wimbledon
Home and away
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, AFC Wimbledon are 18th with 13 points after 13 matches (3W 4D 6L), whereas Mansfield Town are 12th with 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
What to expect
Mansfield Town should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: AFC Wimbledon 0, Mansfield Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
AFC Wimbledon are missing: no absences. Mansfield Town are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: questions and answers
What is the best tip for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
Our result tip is Draw or Mansfield Town (X2) (odds 1.34), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Mansfield Town (X2).
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
Our probabilities: AFC Wimbledon to win 28%, a draw 27%, Mansfield Town to win 45%.
What time and where is kick-off?
20 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Plough Lane, Wimbledon.
Who will be missing?
AFC Wimbledon: no absences. Mansfield Town: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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