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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 18:00

Lebrijana vs Getafe: tip, odds and prediction – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Lebrijana
WW
2–3
1Lebrijana41.00
XDraw16.00
2Getafe1.06

Best available odds · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Lebrijana meet Getafe on 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Municipal de Lebrija. Getafe (90%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Lebrijana vs Getafe: tip and prediction
Result
Getafe to win
1.06
Goals
No to both teams scoring
1.45
Combo
Getafe plus over 2.5 goals
1.35
74% · combo fair price
90%chance of the result
64%chance for the goals tip
0–3likely score
≈ 5 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Getafe (X2) – 97% probability, top odds 1.01. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Lebrijana vs Getafe: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Getafe should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–4, about 5 goals combined, and 0–3 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

    At 1.06, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: No to both teams scoring (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 5 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 79%.
    2. Absent: Lebrijana 0, Getafe 0.

    Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals

    Alternative pick: Over 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.58). Our projection of about 5 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Lebrijana are missing: no absences. Getafe are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Lebrijana vs Getafe: the odds compared

    Match result1X2
    Best available odds41.0016.001.06
    Market average33.6913.221.04
    Lowest odds18.509.501.03
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.031.0391.6%
    Over 2.5 goals1.221.1978.5%
    Under 2.5 goals5.004.3821.5%
    Over 3.5 goals1.581.5460.2%
    BTTS – yes2.702.5835.8%
    BTTS – no1.451.4364.2%

    Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.

    All bookmakers →

    Match at a glance

    • Likely result: Lebrijana 0–3 Getafe, roughly 5 goals in total.
    • Absences: Lebrijana 0, Getafe 0.

    Who will win Lebrijana vs Getafe?

    Lebrijana3%
    Draw7%
    Getafe90%

    We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

    Lebrijana vs Getafe: more markets and betting tips

    Draw or Getafe (X2)97.0% · fair odds 1.03 · best 1.01
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals91.6% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.03
    Likely
    Getafe to win89.7% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.06
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.22
    Likely
    Both sides to score: no64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.45
    Likely
    Over 3.5 goals60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.58
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.50
    Outsider
    Both sides to score: yes35.8% · fair odds 2.80 · best 2.70
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals21.5% · fair odds 4.66 · best 5.00
    Outsider
    Draw7.3% · fair odds 13.73 · best 16.00
    Outsider
    Lebrijana to win3.0% · fair odds 33.45 · best 41.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

    Corners and cards

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 1.93 · Under 1.80
    probability of over 48.3%

    Most likely correct scores

    0 : 311.8%
    0 : 410.4%
    0 : 29.9%
    0 : 57.4%
    1 : 37.1%
    1 : 46.3%

    Lebrijana vs Getafe: who is missing

    Lebrijana

    • No reported absences

    Getafe

    • No reported absences

    This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Lebrijana vs Getafe: team stats compared

    LebrijanaGetafe
    100%Form0%
    100%Attack0%
    0%Defence100%

    These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

    Form in the competition

    LebrijanaWW
    Getafe

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.0%

    Lebrijana vs Getafe: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Lebrijana vs Getafe?

    Our result tip is Getafe to win (odds 1.06), and our goals tip is No to both teams scoring (odds 1.45). The safer pick is Draw or Getafe (X2).

    Who will win Lebrijana vs Getafe?

    Our probabilities: Lebrijana to win 3%, a draw 7%, Getafe to win 90%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    29 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Municipal de Lebrija.

    Who will be missing?

    Lebrijana: no absences. Getafe: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 79% (odds 1.22); under 2.5 goals is at 21% (odds 5.00).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 36% probability (odds 2.70).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 0–3 (11.8%); after that come 0–4 (10.4%) and 0–2 (9.9%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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    18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.