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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:00

Laredo vs Burgos: tip, odds and prediction – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Laredo
2–4
1Laredo6.60
XDraw4.40
2Burgos1.60

Best available odds · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Laredo v Burgos is on 29 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio San Lorenzo. We think Burgos (61%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Laredo vs Burgos: tip and prediction
Handicap
Burgos -1 (Asian handicap)
2.00
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.85
Combo
Burgos plus over 2.5 goals
2.70
37% · combo fair price
50%Chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Burgos (X2) – 84% probability, top odds 1.13.

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Laredo vs Burgos: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Laredo have 0 wins, Burgos have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–4.

What to expect

Burgos should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Laredo 0 wins, 0 draws, Burgos 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 6.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
  4. Absent: Laredo 0, Burgos 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Laredo are missing: no absences. Burgos are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Laredo vs Burgos: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds6.604.401.60
Market average5.933.981.52
Lowest odds5.503.701.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2573.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.851.8251.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.971.9248.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.102.9331.4%
BTTS – yes1.951.8949.0%
BTTS – no1.851.8151.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Laredo 0–1 Burgos, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Laredo 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
  • Absences: Laredo 0, Burgos 0.

Who will win Laredo vs Burgos?

Laredo16%
Draw23%
Burgos61%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Laredo vs Burgos: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Burgos (X2)84.3% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.36
Likely
Burgos to win61.0% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.85
Possible
Both sides to score: no51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Both sides to score: yes49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.97
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw23.3% · fair odds 4.29 · best 4.40
Outsider
Laredo to win15.7% · fair odds 6.38 · best 6.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

0 : 112.4%
0 : 211.5%
1 : 110.6%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 37.1%
0 : 06.7%

Laredo vs Burgos: who is missing

Laredo

  • No reported absences

Burgos

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Laredo vs Burgos: head to head

All matches
0Laredo
0Draws
1Burgos
29/10/26 · Laredo 2–4 Burgos

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.0%

Laredo vs Burgos: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Laredo vs Burgos?

Burgos -1 (Asian handicap) (2.00); Over 2.5 goals (1.85).

Who will win Laredo vs Burgos?

Our probabilities: Laredo to win 16%, a draw 23%, Burgos to win 61%.

What time and where is kick-off?

29 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Estadio San Lorenzo.

Who will be missing?

Laredo: no absences. Burgos: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.97).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.95).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 0–1 (12.4%); after that come 0–2 (11.5%) and 1–1 (10.6%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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