Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hortaleza meet Sevilla on 29 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Municipal El Val (Alcalá de Henares). Sevilla (92%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Hortaleza have 0 wins, Sevilla have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 0–3.
What to expect
Sevilla should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–4, about 5 goals combined, and 0–3 (10.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.04, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Under 3.5 goals (odds 3.70), and our probability for it is 28%. We estimate both teams scoring at 28% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Hortaleza 0 wins, 0 draws, Sevilla 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 5 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 85%.
- Absent: Hortaleza 0, Sevilla 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 28%, best available odds 3.50). Our projection of about 5 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Hortaleza are missing: no absences. Sevilla are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 61.00 | 29.00 | 1.04 |
| Market average | 44.57 | 19.64 | 1.03 |
| Lowest odds | 25.00 | 11.00 | 1.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.03 | 1.02 | 93.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 85.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 7.00 | 6.38 | 14.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 72.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 3.50 | 3.36 | 27.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.29 | 1.28 | 72.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hortaleza 0–3 Sevilla, roughly 5 goals in total.
- H2H: 1 match: Hortaleza 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–3.
- Absences: Hortaleza 0, Sevilla 0.
Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: who is missing
Hortaleza
- No reported absences
Sevilla
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
HortalezaWDSevillaHortaleza vs Sevilla: head to head
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Hortaleza vs Sevilla: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
Sevilla to win (1.04); Under 3.5 goals (3.70).
Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
Our probabilities: Hortaleza to win 2%, a draw 5%, Sevilla to win 92%.
What time and where is kick-off?
29 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadio Municipal El Val, Alcalá de Henares.
Who will be missing?
Hortaleza: no absences. Sevilla: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 85% (odds 1.11); under 2.5 goals is at 15% (odds 7.00).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 28% probability (odds 3.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 0–3 (10.2%); after that come 0–4 (10.2%) and 0–5 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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