Hibernian v Dundee Utd is on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Easter Road (Edinburgh). We think Hibernian (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Hibernian are 12th with 8 points after 11 matches (2W 2D 7L), whereas Dundee Utd are 6th with 16 points (4W 4D 3L).
- Head to head. In their 37 meetings so far, Hibernian have 12 wins, Dundee Utd have 12 wins and 13 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 57–57.
What to expect
Hibernian should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Dundee Utd are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 37; Hibernian 12 wins, 13 draws, Dundee Utd 12 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Hibernian 0, Dundee Utd 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Hibernian are missing: no absences. Dundee Utd are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.05 | 3.85 | 3.30 |
| Market average | 2.02 | 3.72 | 3.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.28 | 41.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.47 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.37 | 39.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hibernian 1–1 Dundee Utd, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hibernian 12th (8 points), Dundee Utd 6th (16 points).
- H2H: 37 matches: Hibernian 12W 13D 12L, goals 57–57.
- Absences: Hibernian 0, Dundee Utd 0.
Who will win Hibernian vs Dundee Utd?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd: who is missing
Hibernian
- No reported absences
Dundee Utd
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Hibernian vs Dundee Utd: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 | |
| 10 | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 | |
| 11 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 | |
| 12 | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
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Hibernian vs Dundee Utd: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Hibernian vs Dundee Utd?
Draw or Dundee Utd (X2) (1.80); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Hibernian vs Dundee Utd?
Our probabilities: Hibernian to win 46%, a draw 25%, Dundee Utd to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Easter Road, Edinburgh.
Who will be missing?
Hibernian: no absences. Dundee Utd: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.0%); after that come 2–1 (9.4%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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