Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hertha BSC are at home to Arminia Bielefeld on 24 October 2026 · 12:00 at Olympiastadion (Berlin), with Cristian Ballweg, Germany as the referee. Our favourites are Hertha BSC (52%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.87 | 4.05 | 4.16 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.84 | 3.98 |
| Lowest odds | 1.79 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.60 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.24 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.51 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 10:33. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hertha BSC 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hertha BSC 1st (28 points), Arminia Bielefeld 7th (14 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Hertha BSC 3W 4D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Absences: Hertha BSC 0, Arminia Bielefeld 0.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: who is missing
Hertha BSC
- No reported absences
Arminia Bielefeld
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Hertha BSC
Home and away
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Hertha BSC are 1st with 28 points after 10 matches (9W 1D 0L), whereas Arminia Bielefeld are 7th with 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Hertha BSC have 3 wins, Arminia Bielefeld have 2 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 8–9.
What to expect
Hertha BSC should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Hertha BSC 3 wins, 4 draws, Arminia Bielefeld 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.9 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Hertha BSC 0, Arminia Bielefeld 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Hertha BSC are missing: no absences. Arminia Bielefeld are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: head to head
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Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our result tip is Hertha BSC to win (odds 1.87), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56). The safer pick is Hertha BSC or draw (1X).
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our probabilities: Hertha BSC to win 52%, a draw 25%, Arminia Bielefeld to win 24%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 12:00, at Olympiastadion, Berlin. Referee: Cristian Ballweg, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Hertha BSC: no absences. Arminia Bielefeld: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.5%); after that come 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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