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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:30

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: tip, odds and prediction – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Gimnástica Torrelavega
3–1
UD Ourense
1Gimnástica Torrelavega3.00
XDraw3.45
2UD Ourense2.48

Best available odds · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Gimnástica Torrelavega meet UD Ourense on 29 October 2026 · 19:30 at Estadio El Malecón (Torrelavega). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or UD Ourense (X2)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.76
68%chance of the result
53%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.003.452.48
Market average2.903.212.38
Lowest odds2.723.062.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.331.3071.1%
Over 2.5 goals2.101.9847.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.821.7852.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.703.3128.0%
BTTS – yes1.761.7353.5%
BTTS – no2.051.9946.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 UD Ourense, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Absences: Gimnástica Torrelavega 0, UD Ourense 0.

Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense?

Gimnástica Torrelavega32%
Draw29%
UD Ourense39%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: more markets and betting tips

Under 3.5 goals72.0% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.32
Likely
Over 1.5 goals71.1% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.33
Likely
Draw or UD Ourense (X2)68.0% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Both sides to score: yes53.5% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.76
Possible
Under 2.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.82
Possible
Over 2.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.10
Outsider
Both sides to score: no46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.05
Outsider
UD Ourense to win39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.48
Outsider
Gimnástica Torrelavega to win32.0% · fair odds 3.13 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw28.9% · fair odds 3.46 · best 3.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.0% · fair odds 3.58 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.6%
0 : 110.5%
1 : 09.4%
1 : 28.5%
0 : 07.8%
2 : 17.6%

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: who is missing

Gimnástica Torrelavega

  • No reported absences

UD Ourense

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

    Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.76), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 47%.
    2. Absent: Gimnástica Torrelavega 0, UD Ourense 0.

    Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

    Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.76). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Gimnástica Torrelavega are missing: no absences. UD Ourense are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.9%

    Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense?

    Our result tip is Draw or UD Ourense (X2) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.76). The safer pick is Draw or UD Ourense (X2).

    Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense?

    Our probabilities: Gimnástica Torrelavega to win 32%, a draw 29%, UD Ourense to win 39%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    29 October 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Estadio El Malecón, Torrelavega.

    Who will be missing?

    Gimnástica Torrelavega: no absences. UD Ourense: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 47% (odds 2.10); under 2.5 goals is at 53% (odds 1.82).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.76).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.6%); after that come 0–1 (10.5%) and 1–0 (9.4%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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