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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Gimnástica Segoviana
0–1
Cultural Leonesa
1Gimnástica Segoviana3.90
XDraw3.60
2Cultural Leonesa2.20

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Gimnástica Segoviana are at home to Cultural Leonesa on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio La Albuera (Segovia). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Cultural Leonesa (X2)
1.36
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
71%chance of the result
57%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 3 meetings so far, Gimnástica Segoviana have 1 win, Cultural Leonesa have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–4.

What to expect

Cultural Leonesa should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 3; Gimnástica Segoviana 1 win, 1 draw, Cultural Leonesa 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
  4. Absent: Gimnástica Segoviana 0, Cultural Leonesa 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Gimnástica Segoviana are missing: no absences. Cultural Leonesa are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.903.602.20
Market average3.183.402.12
Lowest odds2.833.131.91
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2374.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.841.7752.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.001.9847.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8132.8%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.2%
BTTS – no2.252.1642.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Cultural Leonesa, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 3 matches: Gimnástica Segoviana 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–4.
  • Absences: Gimnástica Segoviana 0, Cultural Leonesa 0.

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

Gimnástica Segoviana29%
Draw27%
Cultural Leonesa44%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals74.7% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.26
Likely
Draw or Cultural Leonesa (X2)70.8% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.2% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
Both sides to score: yes57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.84
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.00
Outsider
Cultural Leonesa to win43.6% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.20
Outsider
Both sides to score: no42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.8% · fair odds 3.05 · best 3.00
Outsider
Gimnástica Segoviana to win29.2% · fair odds 3.42 · best 3.90
Outsider
Draw27.2% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.77 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.8%
0 : 19.4%
1 : 29.1%
1 : 07.6%
2 : 17.4%
0 : 27.3%

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: who is missing

Gimnástica Segoviana

  • No reported absences

Cultural Leonesa

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: team stats compared

Gimnástica SegovianaCultural Leonesa
80%Head to head20%
57%Goals43%
68.5%Overall31.5%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: head to head

1Gimnástica Segoviana
1Draws
1Cultural Leonesa
27/10/26 · Gimnástica Segoviana 0–1 Cultural Leonesa
16/3/25 · Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Cultural Leonesa
15/12/24 · Cultural Leonesa 2–3 Gimnástica Segoviana

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

Our result tip is Draw or Cultural Leonesa (X2) (odds 1.36), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.67). The safer pick is Draw or Cultural Leonesa (X2).

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

Our probabilities: Gimnástica Segoviana to win 29%, a draw 27%, Cultural Leonesa to win 44%.

What time and where is kick-off?

27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Estadio La Albuera, Segovia.

Who will be missing?

Gimnástica Segoviana: no absences. Cultural Leonesa: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.84); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.00).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.8%); after that come 0–1 (9.4%) and 1–2 (9.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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