Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers is on 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Oriel Park (Dundalk); P. McLaughlin takes charge. We think Shamrock Rovers (46%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Dundalk are 6th with 45 points after 36 matches (11W 12D 13L), whereas Shamrock Rovers are 1st with 68 points (20W 8D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Dundalk have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Shamrock Rovers average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Dundalk: 10W 12D 13L, goals 52–58; Shamrock Rovers: 20W 8D 7L, goals 58–35.
- Head to head. In their 30 meetings so far, Dundalk have 12 wins, Shamrock Rovers have 12 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 33–40.
What to expect
Shamrock Rovers should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 30; Dundalk 12 wins, 6 draws, Shamrock Rovers 12 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Dundalk 52–58, Shamrock Rovers 58–35.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Dundalk 0, Shamrock Rovers 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Dundalk are missing: no absences. Shamrock Rovers are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.52 | 3.82 | 2.05 |
| Market average | 3.29 | 3.59 | 2.00 |
| Lowest odds | 3.02 | 3.28 | 1.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.61 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.25 | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.39 | 38.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Dundalk 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dundalk 6th (45 points), Shamrock Rovers 1st (68 points).
- Form in the competition: Dundalk 10W 12D 13L (52:58), Shamrock Rovers 20W 8D 7L (58:35).
- H2H: 30 matches: Dundalk 12W 6D 12L, goals 33–40.
- Absences: Dundalk 0, Shamrock Rovers 0.
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: who is missing
Dundalk
- No reported absences
Shamrock Rovers
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Dundalk
Home and away
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
DundalkWLDLLShamrock RoversLWLWWDundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our result tip is Shamrock Rovers to win (odds 2.05), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54). The safer pick is Draw or Shamrock Rovers (X2).
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our probabilities: Dundalk to win 28%, a draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers to win 46%.
What time and where is kick-off?
30 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Oriel Park, Dundalk. Referee: P. McLaughlin.
Who will be missing?
Dundalk: no absences. Shamrock Rovers: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.62); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.0%); after that come 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.