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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:30

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Don Benito
2–4
Extremadura 1924
1Don Benito3.90
XDraw3.80
2Extremadura 19241.96

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Don Benito meet Extremadura 1924 on 27 October 2026 · 19:30 at Estadio Vicente Sanz (Don Benito). Extremadura 1924 (49%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: tip and prediction
Result
Extremadura 1924 to win
1.96
Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
49%chance of the result
55%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Extremadura 1924 (X2) – 75% probability, top odds 1.29.

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Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.903.801.96
Market average3.753.521.91
Lowest odds3.603.401.87
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2474.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.901.8351.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.951.9248.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.9231.6%
BTTS – yes1.751.7054.6%
BTTS – no2.152.0445.4%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Don Benito 1–1 Extremadura 1924, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Don Benito 0, Extremadura 1924 0.

Who will win Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924?

Don Benito25%
Draw26%
Extremadura 192449%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Extremadura 1924 (X2)75.2% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.3% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.4% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.40
Likely
Both sides to score: yes54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.90
Possible
Extremadura 1924 to win48.8% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.96
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.95
Outsider
Both sides to score: no45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.15
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.6% · fair odds 3.16 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw26.4% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.80
Outsider
Don Benito to win24.8% · fair odds 4.03 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.8%
0 : 110.8%
1 : 29.5%
0 : 28.6%
1 : 07.4%
0 : 06.7%

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: who is missing

Don Benito

  • No reported absences

Extremadura 1924

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Extremadura 1924 should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

    Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
    2. Absent: Don Benito 0, Extremadura 1924 0.

    Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

    Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Don Benito are missing: no absences. Extremadura 1924 are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: team stats compared

    Don BenitoExtremadura 1924
    0%Head to head100%
    0%Goals100%

    These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.6%

    Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924?

    Our result tip is Extremadura 1924 to win (odds 1.96), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Draw or Extremadura 1924 (X2).

    Who will win Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924?

    Our probabilities: Don Benito to win 25%, a draw 26%, Extremadura 1924 to win 49%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito.

    Who will be missing?

    Don Benito: no absences. Extremadura 1924: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.90); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.95).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.75).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.8%); after that come 0–1 (10.8%) and 1–2 (9.5%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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