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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 17:30

Cuarte vs Girona: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Cuarte
0–2
1Cuarte18.00
XDraw8.00
2Girona1.18

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 13:39

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Cuarte v Girona is on 27 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal Juan Guerrero El Lobo (Cuarte de Huerva). We think Girona (80%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Cuarte vs Girona: tip and prediction
Result
Girona to win
1.18
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.51
Combo
Girona plus over 2.5 goals
1.79
56% · combo fair price
80%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Girona (X2) – 94% probability, top odds 1.04. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Cuarte vs Girona: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds18.008.001.18
Market average14.966.761.16
Lowest odds10.605.991.13
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.161.1381.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.511.4961.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4138.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.382.2541.2%
BTTS – yes2.382.3140.1%
BTTS – no1.571.5559.9%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 13:39. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Cuarte 0–2 Girona, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Cuarte 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–2.
  • Absences: Cuarte 0, Girona 0.

Who will win Cuarte vs Girona?

Cuarte6%
Draw14%
Girona80%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Cuarte vs Girona: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Girona (X2)93.6% · fair odds 1.07 · best 1.04
Likely
Over 1.5 goals81.5% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.16
Likely
Girona to win79.9% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.8% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.51
Likely
Both sides to score: no59.9% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Possible
Under 3.5 goals58.8% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.2% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.38
Outsider
Both sides to score: yes40.1% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.38
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.2% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw13.7% · fair odds 7.28 · best 8.00
Outsider
Cuarte to win6.4% · fair odds 15.72 · best 18.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 213.8%
0 : 311.9%
0 : 110.6%
1 : 28.3%
0 : 47.8%
1 : 37.2%

Cuarte vs Girona: who is missing

Cuarte

  • No reported absences

Girona

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Cuarte vs Girona: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Cuarte have 0 wins, Girona have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 0–2.

What to expect

Girona should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–3, about 4 goals combined, and 0–2 (13.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

At 1.18, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Cuarte 0 wins, 0 draws, Girona 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
  4. Absent: Cuarte 0, Girona 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Cuarte are missing: no absences. Girona are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Cuarte vs Girona: head to head

All matches
0Cuarte
0Draws
1Girona
27/10/26 · Cuarte 0–2 Girona

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.4%

Cuarte vs Girona: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Cuarte vs Girona?

Our result tip is Girona to win (odds 1.18), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.51). The safer pick is Draw or Girona (X2).

Who will win Cuarte vs Girona?

Our probabilities: Cuarte to win 6%, a draw 14%, Girona to win 80%.

What time and where is kick-off?

27 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio Municipal Juan Guerrero El Lobo, Cuarte de Huerva.

Who will be missing?

Cuarte: no absences. Girona: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.51); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 40% probability (odds 2.38).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 0–2 (13.8%); after that come 0–3 (11.9%) and 0–1 (10.6%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.