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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 18:00

Coruxo vs Zamora: tip, odds and prediction – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Coruxo
0–2
Zamora
1Coruxo3.55
XDraw3.30
2Zamora2.25

Best available odds · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Coruxo are at home to Zamora on 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Campo do Vao (Vigo), with Víctor Manuel Broncano Suárez, Spain as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Coruxo vs Zamora: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Zamora (X2)
1.33
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.62
72%chance of the result
58%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Coruxo vs Zamora: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.553.302.25
Market average3.373.172.14
Lowest odds3.253.012.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.421.4066.2%
Over 2.5 goals2.312.2341.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.621.6058.3%
Over 3.5 goals4.334.0223.1%
BTTS – yes2.001.9547.5%
BTTS – no1.801.7652.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Coruxo 1–1 Zamora, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • H2H: 6 matches: Coruxo 0W 1D 5L, goals 2–9.
  • Absences: Coruxo 0, Zamora 0.

Who will win Coruxo vs Zamora?

Coruxo28%
Draw29%
Zamora43%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Coruxo vs Zamora: more markets and betting tips

Under 3.5 goals76.9% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.23
Likely
Draw or Zamora (X2)72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Over 1.5 goals66.2% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.42
Likely
Under 2.5 goals58.3% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.62
Possible
Both sides to score: no52.5% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: yes47.5% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.00
Outsider
Zamora to win43.3% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.31
Outsider
Draw29.2% · fair odds 3.42 · best 3.30
Outsider
Coruxo to win27.5% · fair odds 3.63 · best 3.55
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals23.1% · fair odds 4.34 · best 4.33
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.96 · Under 1.75
probability of over 47.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 113.0%
0 : 113.0%
1 : 010.0%
0 : 010.0%
1 : 28.5%
0 : 28.5%

Coruxo vs Zamora: who is missing

Coruxo

  • No reported absences

Zamora

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Coruxo vs Zamora: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Coruxo have 0 wins, Zamora have 5 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–9.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (13.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 6; Coruxo 0 wins, 1 draw, Zamora 5 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.8 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 42%.
  4. Absent: Coruxo 0, Zamora 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Coruxo are missing: no absences. Zamora are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Coruxo vs Zamora: team stats compared

CoruxoZamora
7%Head to head93%
20%Goals80%
13.5%Overall86.5%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Coruxo vs Zamora: head to head

0Coruxo
1Draws
5Zamora
11/2/24 · Coruxo 1–2 Zamora
1/10/23 · Zamora 2–0 Coruxo
9/4/23 · Coruxo 1–1 Zamora
27/11/22 · Zamora 1–0 Coruxo
17/1/21 · Zamora 2–0 Coruxo
18/10/20 · Coruxo 0–1 Zamora

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.0%

Coruxo vs Zamora: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Coruxo vs Zamora?

Our result tip is Draw or Zamora (X2) (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.62). The safer pick is Draw or Zamora (X2).

Who will win Coruxo vs Zamora?

Our probabilities: Coruxo to win 28%, a draw 29%, Zamora to win 43%.

What time and where is kick-off?

29 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Campo do Vao, Vigo. Referee: Víctor Manuel Broncano Suárez, Spain.

Who will be missing?

Coruxo: no absences. Zamora: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 42% (odds 2.31); under 2.5 goals is at 58% (odds 1.62).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 47% probability (odds 2.00).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (13.0%); after that come 0–1 (13.0%) and 1–0 (10.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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