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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Ciudad de Lucena
0–1
Rayo Majadahonda
1Ciudad de Lucena3.40
XDraw3.70
2Rayo Majadahonda2.10

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo Majadahonda is on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Nuevo Estadio Municipal. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Rayo Majadahonda (X2)
1.36
Goals
Both teams to score
1.72
71%chance of the result
55%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.403.702.10
Market average3.253.522.07
Lowest odds3.153.302.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.291.2672.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.871.8550.5%
Under 2.5 goals1.951.8849.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.0630.0%
BTTS – yes1.721.7054.5%
BTTS – no2.152.0445.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Ciudad de Lucena 1–1 Rayo Majadahonda, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Ciudad de Lucena 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–1.
  • Absences: Ciudad de Lucena 0, Rayo Majadahonda 0.

Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Ciudad de Lucena29%
Draw26%
Rayo Majadahonda45%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals72.9% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.29
Likely
Draw or Rayo Majadahonda (X2)71.4% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.0% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.34
Likely
Both sides to score: yes54.5% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.72
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.5% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.87
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.5% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
Outsider
Both sides to score: no45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.15
Outsider
Rayo Majadahonda to win44.9% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.0% · fair odds 3.33 · best 3.25
Outsider
Ciudad de Lucena to win28.6% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw26.5% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.2%
0 : 110.6%
1 : 29.1%
1 : 08.1%
0 : 27.9%
0 : 07.1%

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: who is missing

Ciudad de Lucena

  • No reported absences

Rayo Majadahonda

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Ciudad de Lucena have 0 wins, Rayo Majadahonda have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 0–1.

What to expect

Rayo Majadahonda should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.72), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Ciudad de Lucena 0 wins, 0 draws, Rayo Majadahonda 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
  4. Absent: Ciudad de Lucena 0, Rayo Majadahonda 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.72). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Ciudad de Lucena are missing: no absences. Rayo Majadahonda are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: head to head

0Ciudad de Lucena
0Draws
1Rayo Majadahonda
27/10/26 · Ciudad de Lucena 0–1 Rayo Majadahonda

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.5%

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Our result tip is Draw or Rayo Majadahonda (X2) (odds 1.36), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.72). The safer pick is Draw or Rayo Majadahonda (X2).

Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Our probabilities: Ciudad de Lucena to win 29%, a draw 26%, Rayo Majadahonda to win 45%.

What time and where is kick-off?

27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Nuevo Estadio Municipal.

Who will be missing?

Ciudad de Lucena: no absences. Rayo Majadahonda: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.87); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.95).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.72).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.2%); after that come 0–1 (10.6%) and 1–2 (9.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.