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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 4 November 2026 · 20:00

Badajoz vs Tenerife: tip, odds and prediction – 4 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Badajoz
VS
1Badajoz5.50
XDraw4.00
2Tenerife1.73

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 08:54

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Badajoz are at home to Tenerife on 4 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Nuevo Vivero (Badajoz). Our favourites are Tenerife (56%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Badajoz vs Tenerife: tip and prediction
Result
Tenerife to win
1.73
Goals
Both teams to score
1.91
Combo
Tenerife plus over 2.5 goals
3.05
33% · combo fair price
56%chance of the result
51%chance for the goals tip
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Tenerife (X2) – 81% probability, top odds 1.18.

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Badajoz vs Tenerife: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds5.504.001.73
Market average4.823.711.68
Lowest odds4.153.371.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.291.2772.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.941.8749.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.001.8650.2%
Over 3.5 goals3.403.1229.6%
BTTS – yes1.911.8450.7%
BTTS – no1.951.8949.3%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:54. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Badajoz 0–1 Tenerife, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Badajoz 0, Tenerife 0.

Who will win Badajoz vs Tenerife?

Badajoz19%
Draw25%
Tenerife56%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Badajoz vs Tenerife: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Tenerife (X2)80.6% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals72.7% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.4% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.36
Likely
Tenerife to win55.5% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.73
Possible
Both sides to score: yes50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.91
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.2% · fair odds 1.99 · best 2.00
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.8% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.94
Outsider
Both sides to score: no49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.6% · fair odds 3.38 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw25.1% · fair odds 3.98 · best 4.00
Outsider
Badajoz to win19.4% · fair odds 5.16 · best 5.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

0 : 112.0%
1 : 111.4%
0 : 210.2%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 07.1%
1 : 06.7%

Badajoz vs Tenerife: who is missing

Badajoz

  • No reported absences

Tenerife

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Badajoz vs Tenerife: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Tenerife should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (12.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

    Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.91), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
    2. Absent: Badajoz 0, Tenerife 0.

    Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

    Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Badajoz are missing: no absences. Tenerife are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.6%

    Badajoz vs Tenerife: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Badajoz vs Tenerife?

    Our result tip is Tenerife to win (odds 1.73), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.91). The safer pick is Draw or Tenerife (X2).

    Who will win Badajoz vs Tenerife?

    Our probabilities: Badajoz to win 19%, a draw 25%, Tenerife to win 56%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    4 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadio Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz.

    Who will be missing?

    Badajoz: no absences. Tenerife: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.94); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 2.00).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.91).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 0–1 (12.0%); after that come 1–1 (11.4%) and 0–2 (10.2%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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    18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.