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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Atlético Tordesillas
3–3
Mirandés
1Atlético Tordesillas5.25
XDraw3.95
2Mirandés1.71

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Atlético Tordesillas meet Mirandés on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Las Salinas. Mirandés (56%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: tip and prediction
Result
Mirandés to win
1.71
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.90
Combo
Mirandés plus over 2.5 goals
2.93
34% · combo fair price
56%chance of the result
51%chance for the goals tip
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Mirandés (X2) – 81% probability, top odds 1.18.

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Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds5.253.951.71
Market average4.853.801.66
Lowest odds4.603.601.62
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2673.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.901.8450.8%
Under 2.5 goals1.941.9049.2%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.0230.5%
BTTS – yes1.951.8350.5%
BTTS – no1.911.8749.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Atlético Tordesillas 0–1 Mirandés, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Atlético Tordesillas 0, Mirandés 0.

Who will win Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés?

Atlético Tordesillas19%
Draw25%
Mirandés56%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Mirandés (X2)80.8% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.3% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.5% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.35
Likely
Mirandés to win56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.71
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.90
Possible
Both sides to score: yes50.5% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.95
Possible
Both sides to score: no49.5% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.91
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.94
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.5% · fair odds 3.28 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw24.5% · fair odds 4.08 · best 3.95
Outsider
Atlético Tordesillas to win19.2% · fair odds 5.20 · best 5.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 111.8%
1 : 111.2%
0 : 210.3%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 06.7%
1 : 06.4%

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: who is missing

Atlético Tordesillas

  • No reported absences

Mirandés

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

    What to expect

    Mirandés should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–1 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

    Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

    Prediction: key points

    1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
    2. Absent: Atlético Tordesillas 0, Mirandés 0.

    Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

    Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 50%, best available odds 1.95). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

    Absences

    Atlético Tordesillas are missing: no absences. Mirandés are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.4%

    Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés: questions and answers

    What is the best tip for Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés?

    Our result tip is Mirandés to win (odds 1.71), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.90). The safer pick is Draw or Mirandés (X2).

    Who will win Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandés?

    Our probabilities: Atlético Tordesillas to win 19%, a draw 25%, Mirandés to win 56%.

    What time and where is kick-off?

    27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Estadio Las Salinas.

    Who will be missing?

    Atlético Tordesillas: no absences. Mirandés: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

    Will there be three or more goals?

    Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.90); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.94).

    Will both teams score?

    We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.95).

    What is the likeliest correct score?

    Our likeliest score is 0–1 (11.8%); after that come 1–1 (11.2%) and 0–2 (10.3%).

    How do you work out your predictions?

    Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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    18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.