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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 20:00

Atlético Paso vs Córdoba: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Atlético Paso
3–1
1Atlético Paso6.57
XDraw4.75
2Córdoba1.52

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Atlético Paso are at home to Córdoba on 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Fútbol El Paso (El Paso). Our favourites are Córdoba (63%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Atlético Paso vs Córdoba: tip and prediction
Result
Córdoba to win
1.52
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.70
Combo
Córdoba plus over 2.5 goals
2.44
41% · combo fair price
63%chance of the result
56%chance for the goals tip
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Córdoba (X2) – 85% probability, top odds 1.14.

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Atlético Paso vs Córdoba: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds6.574.751.52
Market average6.064.311.46
Lowest odds5.403.911.41
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.2076.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.701.6855.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.152.1044.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.802.6434.9%
BTTS – yes1.831.8151.3%
BTTS – no1.951.9048.7%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Atlético Paso 0–2 Córdoba, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Atlético Paso 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–1.
  • Absences: Atlético Paso 0, Córdoba 0.

Who will win Atlético Paso vs Córdoba?

Atlético Paso15%
Draw21%
Córdoba63%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Atlético Paso vs Córdoba: more markets and betting tips

Draw or Córdoba (X2)84.7% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.7% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.23
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.1% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.44
Likely
Córdoba to win63.3% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.52
Likely
Over 2.5 goals55.6% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.70
Possible
Both sides to score: yes51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.83
Possible
Both sides to score: no48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals44.4% · fair odds 2.25 · best 2.15
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.9% · fair odds 2.86 · best 2.80
Outsider
Draw21.4% · fair odds 4.67 · best 4.75
Outsider
Atlético Paso to win15.3% · fair odds 6.55 · best 6.57
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.84 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.5%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 211.0%
0 : 111.0%
1 : 29.9%
1 : 19.9%
0 : 37.3%
1 : 36.6%

Atlético Paso vs Córdoba: who is missing

Atlético Paso

  • No reported absences

Córdoba

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Atlético Paso vs Córdoba: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Atlético Paso have 1 win, Córdoba have 0 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 3–1.

What to expect

Córdoba should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 0–2 (11.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Atlético Paso 1 win, 0 draws, Córdoba 0 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
  4. Absent: Atlético Paso 0, Córdoba 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Atlético Paso are missing: no absences. Córdoba are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Atlético Paso vs Córdoba: head to head

All matches
1Atlético Paso
0Draws
0Córdoba
27/10/26 · Atlético Paso 3–1 Córdoba

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.5%

Atlético Paso vs Córdoba: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Atlético Paso vs Córdoba?

Our result tip is Córdoba to win (odds 1.52), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Draw or Córdoba (X2).

Who will win Atlético Paso vs Córdoba?

Our probabilities: Atlético Paso to win 15%, a draw 21%, Córdoba to win 63%.

What time and where is kick-off?

27 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadio Fútbol El Paso, El Paso.

Who will be missing?

Atlético Paso: no absences. Córdoba: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.70); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.15).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.83).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 0–2 (11.0%); after that come 0–1 (11.0%) and 1–2 (9.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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