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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 18:00

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: tip, odds and prediction – 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Atlético Baleares
0–1
1Atlético Baleares3.36
XDraw3.45
2Eldense2.24

Best available odds · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Atlético Baleares v Eldense is on 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio Balear (Palma). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: tip and prediction
Handicap
Atlético Baleares +1 (Asian handicap)
1.67
Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
68%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 2 meetings so far, Atlético Baleares have 1 win, Eldense have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–3.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 2; Atlético Baleares 1 win, 0 draws, Eldense 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.5 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
  4. Absent: Atlético Baleares 0, Eldense 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Atlético Baleares are missing: no absences. Eldense are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.363.452.24
Market average3.223.302.13
Lowest odds3.102.991.97
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.311.2872.0%
Over 2.5 goals2.011.9448.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.871.8251.6%
Over 3.5 goals3.333.2328.7%
BTTS – yes1.751.7453.4%
BTTS – no2.051.9946.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Atlético Baleares 1–1 Eldense, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • H2H: 2 matches: Atlético Baleares 1W 0D 1L, goals 4–3.
  • Absences: Atlético Baleares 0, Eldense 0.

Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Eldense?

Atlético Baleares29%
Draw28%
Eldense43%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals72.0% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.31
Likely
Draw or Eldense (X2)71.3% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.3% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.33
Likely
Both sides to score: yes53.4% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.75
Possible
Under 2.5 goals51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.87
Possible
Over 2.5 goals48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.01
Outsider
Both sides to score: no46.6% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.05
Outsider
Eldense to win43.3% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.24
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.7% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.33
Outsider
Atlético Baleares to win28.7% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.36
Outsider
Draw28.0% · fair odds 3.57 · best 3.45
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.94 · Under 1.84
probability of over 48.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.4%
0 : 110.8%
1 : 29.0%
1 : 08.5%
0 : 27.8%
0 : 07.4%

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: who is missing

Atlético Baleares

  • No reported absences

Eldense

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: team stats compared

Atlético BalearesEldense
50%Head to head50%
57%Goals43%
53.5%Overall46.5%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: head to head

All matches
1Atlético Baleares
0Draws
1Eldense
5/2/23 · Eldense 2–1 Atlético Baleares
23/10/22 · Atlético Baleares 3–1 Eldense

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.4%

Atlético Baleares vs Eldense: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Atlético Baleares vs Eldense?

Atlético Baleares +1 (Asian handicap) (1.67); Both teams to score (1.75).

Who will win Atlético Baleares vs Eldense?

Our probabilities: Atlético Baleares to win 29%, a draw 28%, Eldense to win 43%.

What time and where is kick-off?

29 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Estadio Balear, Palma.

Who will be missing?

Atlético Baleares: no absences. Eldense: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.01); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.87).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.75).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.4%); after that come 0–1 (10.8%) and 1–2 (9.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.