Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
UCD meet Longford Town on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at UCD Bowl (Dublin). UCD (48%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
UCD vs Longford Town: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.97 | 3.80 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.56 | 3.42 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.20 | 3.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.58 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.40 | 37.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.52 | 59.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.27 | 40.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: UCD 1–1 Longford Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: UCD 2nd (56 points), Longford Town 5th (52 points).
- Form in the competition: UCD 17W 8D 12L (69:51), Longford Town 14W 10D 13L (49:48).
- H2H: 18 matches: UCD 10W 5D 3L, goals 26–16.
- Absences: UCD 0, Longford Town 0.
Who will win UCD vs Longford Town?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
UCD vs Longford Town: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
UCD vs Longford Town: who is missing
UCD
- No reported absences
Longford Town
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
UCD vs Longford Town: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 36 | 23-6-7 | 74:35 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16-8-12 | 67:51 | 56 |
| 3 |  Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15-9-12 | 67:53 | 54 |
| 4 |  Kerry FC | 36 | 14-10-12 | 45:41 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14-10-12 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 6 |  Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14-7-15 | 46:54 | 49 |
| 7 |  Athlone Town | 36 | 13-9-14 | 42:43 | 48 |
| 8 |  Wexford | 36 | 11-9-16 | 44:58 | 42 |
| 9 |  Treaty United | 36 | 11-9-16 | 37:53 | 42 |
| 10 |  Finn Harps | 36 | 7-7-22 | 33:70 | 28 |
Recent matches
UCD
Home and away
UCD vs Longford Town: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, UCD are 2nd with 56 points after 36 matches (16W 8D 12L), whereas Longford Town are 5th with 52 points (14W 10D 12L).
- Attack and defence. UCD have scored 1.9 and conceded 1.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Longford Town average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. UCD: 17W 8D 12L, goals 69–51; Longford Town: 14W 10D 13L, goals 49–48.
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, UCD have 10 wins, Longford Town have 3 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 26–16.
What to expect
UCD should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; UCD 10 wins, 5 draws, Longford Town 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: UCD 69–51, Longford Town 49–48.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: UCD 0, Longford Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
UCD are missing: no absences. Longford Town are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
UCD vs Longford Town: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
UCDWWWWDLongford TownLLWDDUCD vs Longford Town: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
UCD vs Longford Town: questions and answers
What is the best tip for UCD vs Longford Town?
Our result tip is UCD to win (odds 1.97), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is UCD or draw (1X).
Who will win UCD vs Longford Town?
Our probabilities: UCD to win 48%, a draw 26%, Longford Town to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at UCD Bowl, Dublin.
Who will be missing?
UCD: no absences. Longford Town: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.65); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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