Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Longford Town v UCD is on 24 October 2026 · 19:30 at Bishopsgate (Longford). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Longford Town vs UCD: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Longford Town are 5th with 52 points after 36 matches (14W 10D 12L), whereas UCD are 2nd with 56 points (16W 8D 12L).
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Longford Town have 3 wins, UCD have 10 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 16–26.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 65%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; Longford Town 3 wins, 5 draws, UCD 10 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Longford Town 0, UCD 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Longford Town are missing: no absences. UCD are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Longford Town vs UCD: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.31 |
| Market average | 2.90 | 3.26 | 2.22 |
| Lowest odds | 2.39 | 3.00 | 2.05 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.20 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.67 | 54.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.11 | 2.01 | 45.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.65 | 34.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.55 | 58.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.32 | 2.21 | 41.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Longford Town 1–1 UCD, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Longford Town 5th (52 points), UCD 2nd (56 points).
- H2H: 18 matches: Longford Town 3W 5D 10L, goals 16–26.
- Absences: Longford Town 0, UCD 0.
Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Longford Town vs UCD: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Longford Town vs UCD: who is missing
Longford Town
- No reported absences
UCD
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Longford Town vs UCD: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 36 | 23-6-7 | 74:35 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16-8-12 | 67:51 | 56 |
| 3 |  Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15-9-12 | 67:53 | 54 |
| 4 |  Kerry FC | 36 | 14-10-12 | 45:41 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14-10-12 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 6 |  Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14-7-15 | 46:54 | 49 |
| 7 |  Athlone Town | 36 | 13-9-14 | 42:43 | 48 |
| 8 |  Wexford | 36 | 11-9-16 | 44:58 | 42 |
| 9 |  Treaty United | 36 | 11-9-16 | 37:53 | 42 |
| 10 |  Finn Harps | 36 | 7-7-22 | 33:70 | 28 |
Recent matches
Longford Town
Home and away
Longford Town vs UCD: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Longford Town vs UCD: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Longford Town vs UCD?
Our result tip is Draw or UCD (X2) (odds 1.39), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Draw or UCD (X2).
Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?
Our probabilities: Longford Town to win 31%, a draw 28%, UCD to win 41%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Bishopsgate, Longford.
Who will be missing?
Longford Town: no absences. UCD: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.74); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.11).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.