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League of Ireland First Division · semi-final · 24 October 2026 · 19:45

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: tip, odds and prediction – 24 October 2026, League of Ireland First Division

1–2
1Kerry FC3.02
XDraw3.61
2Bray Wanderers2.58

Best available odds · Updated 24/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Kerry FC are at home to Bray Wanderers on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Mounthawk Park (Tralee). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Bray Wanderers (X2)
1.49
Goals
Both teams to score
1.65
66%chance of the result
57%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.023.612.58
Market average2.723.362.30
Lowest odds2.163.002.15
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2175.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.781.7353.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9746.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.7533.1%
BTTS – yes1.651.5957.2%
BTTS – no2.202.1342.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Kerry FC 1–1 Bray Wanderers, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Kerry FC 4th (52 points), Bray Wanderers 3rd (54 points).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Kerry FC 2W 2D 14L, goals 22–42.
  • Absences: Kerry FC 0, Bray Wanderers 0.

Who will win Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry FC34%
Draw27%
Bray Wanderers39%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals75.3% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.9% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.42
Likely
Draw or Bray Wanderers (X2)66.5% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.49
Likely
Both sides to score: yes57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.78
Possible
Under 2.5 goals46.8% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.05
Outsider
Both sides to score: no42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.20
Outsider
Bray Wanderers to win39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.58
Outsider
Kerry FC to win33.5% · fair odds 2.98 · best 3.02
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.1% · fair odds 3.02 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw27.0% · fair odds 3.70 · best 3.61
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.04 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.9%
0 : 18.8%
1 : 28.6%
1 : 08.2%
2 : 18.0%
0 : 26.4%

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: who is missing

Kerry FC

  • No reported absences

Bray Wanderers

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Cork City3623-6-774:3575
2UCD3616-8-1267:5156
3Bray Wanderers3615-9-1267:5354
4Kerry FC3614-10-1245:4152
5Longford Town3614-10-1249:4652
6Cobh Ramblers3614-7-1546:5449
7Athlone Town3613-9-1442:4348
8Wexford3611-9-1644:5842
9Treaty United3611-9-1637:5342
10Finn Harps367-7-2233:7028

Recent matches

Kerry FC

27 OctLBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctLKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctDKerry FC 1–1 Cork City
9 OctWCobh Ramblers 0–2 Kerry FC
2 OctWFinn Harps 1–2 Kerry FC

Bray Wanderers

1 NovLBray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
27 OctWBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctWKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctLFinn Harps 2–0 Bray Wanderers
9 OctDBray Wanderers 2–2 Wexford

Home and away

Kerry FC at home18 matches: 9W 6D 3L, goals 24–15
Bray Wanderers away18 matches: 5W 3D 10L, goals 23–30

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Kerry FC are 4th with 52 points after 36 matches (14W 10D 12L), whereas Bray Wanderers are 3rd with 54 points (15W 9D 12L).
  2. Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Kerry FC have 2 wins, Bray Wanderers have 14 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–42.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.65), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 18; Kerry FC 2 wins, 2 draws, Bray Wanderers 14 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.6 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
  4. Absent: Kerry FC 0, Bray Wanderers 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 57%, best available odds 1.65). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Kerry FC are missing: no absences. Bray Wanderers are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: head to head

All matches
2Kerry FC
2Draws
14Bray Wanderers
27/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
11/9/26 · Kerry FC 0–1 Bray Wanderers
31/7/26 · Bray Wanderers 0–4 Kerry FC
22/5/26 · Kerry FC 2–2 Bray Wanderers
27/3/26 · Bray Wanderers 2–1 Kerry FC

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.7%

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

Our result tip is Draw or Bray Wanderers (X2) (odds 1.49), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.65). The safer pick is Draw or Bray Wanderers (X2).

Who will win Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

Our probabilities: Kerry FC to win 34%, a draw 27%, Bray Wanderers to win 39%.

What time and where is kick-off?

24 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Mounthawk Park, Tralee.

Who will be missing?

Kerry FC: no absences. Bray Wanderers: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.78); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.65).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 0–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (8.6%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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